ArticleNature climate change2021
Next-generation ensemble projections reveal higher climate risks for marine ecosystems.
Article in Nature climate change, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.
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Who cites it
35 citing papers in PubMed.
- Projecting Impacts of Marine Heatwaves and Their Effects on Long-Term Changes in Marine Ecosystems Over the 21st Century.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Pelagic food web realignment supports resilient larvae of Southern Bluefin Tuna in a warming ocean.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Mapping the Global Habitat Redistribution of Critically Endangered Commercial Fish Species Under Climate Change.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Sensitivity of Marine Pelagic Fish Catch Potential to Changes in Primary Production in a Global Fisheries Model.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Short-term performance responses of an intertidal fish to sedimentation and warming.Journal of fish biology · 2026Article
- Article
- Temperature and Prey Availability Drive Seasonal Variations in Diet, Abundance and Condition ofEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Global Marine Fishery Stock Productivity Under Climate Change.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Historical depletion and future drought-driven risks to Gulf of Mexico fisheries production.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Phytoplankton With Flexible Pigment Content Disadvantaged by Projected Future Decrease in Variability of the Ocean Light Spectrum.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Article
- The combined impact of fisheries and climate change on future carbon sequestration by oceanic macrofauna.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Machine learning applied to global scale species distribution models.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Environmental and human factors shape the trophic ecology of a widespread marine predator.The Journal of animal ecology · 2025Article
- Climate change drives shifts in straddling fish stocks in the world's ocean.Science advances · 2025Article
- Multiple Models of European Marine Fish Stocks: Regional Winners and Losers in a Future Climate.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Emergent Relationships Between the Functional Diversity of Marine Planktonic Copepods and Ecosystem Functioning in the Global Ocean.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Global decline in net primary production underestimated by climate models.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Assessing changing baleen whale distributions and reported incidents relative to vessel activity in the Northwest Atlantic.PloS one · 2025Article
- Opportunities for Earth Observation to Inform Risk Management for Ocean Tipping Points.Surveys in geophysics · 2025Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
36 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Projections of climate change impacts on marine ecosystems have revealed long-term declines in global marine animal biomass and unevenly distributed impacts on fisheries. Here we apply an enhanced suite of global marine ecosystem models from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (Fish-MIP), forced by new-generation Earth system model outputs from Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), to provide insights into how projected climate change will affect future ocean ecosystems. Compared with the previous generation CMIP5-forced Fish-MIP ensemble, the new ensemble ecosystem simulations show a greater decline in mean global ocean animal biomass under both strong-mitigation and high-emissions scenarios due to elevated warming, despite greater uncertainty in net primary production in the high-emissions scenario. Regional shifts in the direction of biomass changes highlight the continued and urgent need to reduce uncertainty in the projected responses of marine ecosystems to climate change to help support adaptation planning.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.