Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34743343›Full record

ArticleHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2022

Incidence and prediction of HBsAg seroclearance in a prospective multi-ethnic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B cohort.

Norah A Terrault, Abdus S Wahed, Jordan J Feld, Stewart L Cooper, Mark G Ghany, Mauricio Lisker-Melman, Robert Perrillo, Richard K Sterling, Mandana Khalili, Raymond T Chung and 7 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  13. Review
  14. Chronic Hepatitis B Finite Treatment: Similar and Different Concerns With New Drug Classes.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  15. [Predictive factors for HBsAg-negative seroconversion in chronic hepatitis B after antiviral therapy].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2024
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Sex differences in chronic liver disease and benign liver lesions.JHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2023
    Review
  18. Review
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 9 institutions in 2 countries.

Norah A TerraultGastrointestinal and Liver Diseases Division, Keck Medicine of University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4143-1950
Abdus S WahedDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology Data Center, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Jordan J FeldToronto Center for Liver Disease, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Stewart L CooperSan Francisco Center for Liver Disease, California Pacific Medical & Research Institute, San Francisco, California, USA.
Mark G GhanyLiver Diseases Branch, National Institutes of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
Mauricio Lisker-MelmanWashington University School of Medicine and John Cochran VA Medical Center, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Robert PerrilloBaylor University Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.
Richard K SterlingSection of Hepatology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8637-2475
Mandana KhaliliDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9178-9139
Raymond T ChungMassachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Philip RosenthalDepartment of Pediatrics, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Robert J FontanaDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Arif SarowarToronto Center for Liver Disease, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Daryl T Y LauLiver Center, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4139-1987
Junyao WangDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology Data Center, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Anna S LokDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Harry L A JanssenToronto Center for Liver Disease, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
University of Southern California · USUniversity of Toronto · CAUniversity of Pittsburgh · USBaylor University Medical Center · USCalifornia Pacific Medical Center · USJohn Cochran VA Medical Center · USNational Institutes of Health · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USVirginia Commonwealth University · US

Funding

Engaging University of California Stakeholders for Biorespository ResearchUL1TR000004 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI GRANDIS, JENNIFER RUBIN · 2012 to 2015
$78.0M
MICHIGAN INSTITUTE FOR CLINICAL AND HEALTH RESEARCH (MICHR) (UL1): (BPCA)UL1RR024986 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SHANLEY, THOMAS P. · 2007 to 2011
$51.2M
Hepatitis B Research Network - Data Coordination CenterU01DK082864 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BELLE, STEVEN H. · 2008 to 2019
$25.3M
ZDV VS ZDV + DDL VS ZDV + DDL + NVP IN ASYMPTOMATIC HIV PATIENTSM01RR000040 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI FITZGERALD, GARRET A · 1985 to 2006
$21.1M
Center for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR000058 · NCATS · VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY · PI MOELLER, FREDERICK GERARD · 2012 to 2015
$12.5M
Hepatitis B Research Network (HBRN): Natural History and Treatment StudiesU01DK082944 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI COOPER, STEWART, KHALILI, MANDANA · 2008 to 2019
$10.0M
Observation Study of Persons with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus infection in North AmericaU01DK082874 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY HEALTH NETWORK · PI JANSSEN, HARRY · 2008 to 2019
$6.9M
Harvard Hepatitis B ConsortiumU01DK082919 · NIDDK · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI CHUNG, RAYMOND T, LAU, DARYL T · 2008 to 2019
$4.7M
Midwest Hepatitis B ConsortiumU01DK082871 · NIDDK · SAINT LOUIS UNIVERSITY · PI DI BISCEGLIE, ADRIAN MICHAEL · 2008 to 2019
$4.7M
Hepatitis B Clinical Research Network Clinical Center: Michigan - Hawaii ConsortiumU01DK082863 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LOK, ANNA S.F. · 2008 to 2020
$3.7M
North Texas Hepatitis B Consortium: Clinical Site for the Hepatitis B NetworkU01DK082872 · NIDDK · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI LEE, WILLIAM M · 2008 to 2019
$3.4M
Hepatitis B Clinical Research NetworkU01DK082923 · NIDDK · VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY · PI STERLING, RICHARD K. · 2008 to 2019
$3.2M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000004NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000058NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000040NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024986NIAAA NIH HHS K24 AA022523NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK082863NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK082864NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK082871NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK082872NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK082874NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK082919NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK082923NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK082944
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsAchieving HBsAg loss is an important landmark in the natural history of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). A more personalized approach to prediction of HBsAg loss is relevant in counseling patients. This study sought to develop and validate a prediction model for HBsAg loss based on quantitative HBsAg levels (qHBsAg) and other baseline characteristics.

methodsThe Hepatitis B Research Network (HBRN) is a prospective cohort including 1240 untreated HBeAg-negative patients (1150 adults, 90 children) with median follow-up of 5.5 years. Incidence rates of HBsAg loss and hepatitis B surface antibody (anti-HBs) acquisition were determined, and a predictor score of HBsAg loss using readily available variables was developed and externally validated.

resultsCrude incidence rates of HBsAg loss and anti-HBs acquisition were 1.6 and 1.1 per 100 person-years (PY); 67 achieved sustained HBsAg loss for an incidence rate of 1.2 per 100 PY. Increased HBsAg loss was significantly associated with older age, non-Asian race, HBV phenotype (inactive CHB vs. others), HBV genotype A, lower HBV-DNA levels, and lower and greater change in qHBsAg. The HBRN-SQuARe (sex,∆quantHBsAg, age, race) score predicted HBsAg loss over time with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (95% CIs) at 1 and 3 years of 0.99 (95% CI: 0.987-1.00) and 0.95 (95% CI 0.91-1.00), respectively. In validation in another cohort of 1253 HBeAg-negative patients with median follow-up of 3.1 years, HBRN SQuARe predicted HBsAg loss at 1 and 3 years with AUROC values of 0.99 (0.98-1.00) and 0.88 (0.77-0.99), respectively.

conclusionHBsAg loss in predominantly untreated patients with HBeAg-negative CHB can be accurately predicted over a 3-year horizon using a simple validated score (HBRN SQuARe). This prognostication tool can be used to support patient care and counseling.

Indexed as

Hepatitis B AntibodiesHepatitis B, ChronicHepatitis B Surface AntigensAdultAge FactorsChildEthnicityFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHepatitis B virusHumansIncidenceMalePredictive Value of TestsPrognosisSerologic TestsHepatitis B AntibodiesHepatitis B Surface Antigens

Identifiers

PMID34743343
PMCPMC8943823
OpenAlexW3213465801

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.