Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34741723›Full record

ArticleHepatology international2021

Risk scores to predict HCC and the benefits of antiviral therapy for CHB patients in gray zone of treatment guidelines.

Wei Teng, Ting-Tsung Chang, Hwai-I Yang, Cheng-Yuan Peng, Chien-Wei Su, Tung-Hung Su, Tsung-Hui Hu, Ming-Lung Yu, Hung-Chih Yang, Jaw-Ching Wu

Erratum issuedAbstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology international, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 24 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
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  5. Article
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  8. Diagnosis, clinical assessment, and staging of hepatocellular carcinoma: a Brazilian multidisciplinary consensus.Arquivos brasileiros de cirurgia digestiva : ABCD = Brazilian archives of digestive surgery · 2026
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  13. [Analysis of the incidence of low viral load/low-level viremia and its associated factors in patients with HBV-related primary liver cancer].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2024
    Article
  14. Review
  15. [Accelerating the elimination of hepatitis B virus infection: expert recommendations for expanding prevention and treatment].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2024
    Article
  16. [Therapeutic strategies, practice, and prospect of a clinical cure for chronic hepatitis B in China].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2024
    Article
  17. [New progress on diagnosis and treatment for indeterminate-phase chronic hepatitis B virus-infected patients].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2024
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 8 institutions in 1 country.

Wei TengInstitute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Ting-Tsung Chang *Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, Tainan, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Hwai-I Yang *Genomics Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Cheng-Yuan Peng *Center for Digestive Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Chien-Wei Su *Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Tung-Hung SuDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Tsung-Hui HuDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Ming-Lung YuHepatobiliary Division, Department of Internal Medicine and Hepatitis Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Hung-Chih YangDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
Jaw-Ching WuInstitute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China. penfieldwu@gmail.com.
Genomics Research Center, Academia Sinica · TWTaipei Veterans General Hospital · TWChina Medical University · TWKaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital · TWKaohsiung Medical University · TWNational Cheng Kung University Hospital · TWNational Taiwan University Hospital · TWNational Yang Ming Chiao Tung University · TW

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundsALT ≥ 80 U/L and HBV DNA ≥ 2000 IU/ml are treatment criteria of APASL guidelines for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. The need of antiviral therapy for patients in gray zone (ALT < 80 U/L or HBV DNA < 2000 IU/ml) is controversial. This study aimed to develop a scoring system to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and evaluate the benefit of antiviral therapy in these patients.

methodsSeven hundred and forty-nine patients were analyzed. Significant variables were weighted to develop a scoring system for HCC prediction. The area under receiver operating curves (AUROC) were estimated and validated by REVEAL-HBV cohort (n = 3527).

resultsOlder age (p < 0.001), male sex (p = 0.036), family history of HCC (p = 0.002) and HBV DNA ≥ 2000 IU/ml (p = 0.045) were independently associated with HCC. A 14-point risk score system predicts 3 and 5-years HCC risk to be 0.866 and 0.868 of AUROC, respectively in the derivation cohort; 0.821 and 0.820, in the REVEAL-HBV cohort. The cumulative HCC incidence was higher in the high risk (score ≥ 8) group both in derivation and validation cohorts (p < 0.001). Patients with antiviral therapy had lower HCC incidence compared to those without (p = 0.016). Of note, antiviral therapy significantly decreased HCC in the high risk group (p = 0.005), but not in the low risk group (p = 0.705).

conclusionsA risk scoring system is established and validated. Of CHB patients in gray zone of APASL guidelines, those with risk scores ≥ 8 had higher risk of HCC, but the risk could be significantly reduced by antiviral therapy.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularHepatitis B, ChronicLiver NeoplasmsAgedAntiviral AgentsDNA, ViralHepatitis B virusHumansMaleRisk FactorsAntiviral AgentsDNA, ViralAntiviral therapyBenefitsFamily historyGray zoneHepatitis B virusHepatocellular carcinomaNoncirrhosis; predictionRisk scoreTreatment guidelines

Identifiers

PMID34741723
OpenAlexW3211490789

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.