Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34740073›Full record

ArticleApplied ergonomics2022

On the brink of disruption: Applying Resilience Engineering to anticipate system performance under crisis.

Rodrigo Arcuri, Hugo Cesar Bellas, Denise de Souza Ferreira, Bárbara Bulhões, Mario Cesar Rodríguez Vidal, Paulo Victor Rodrigues de Carvalho, Alessandro Jatobá, Erik Hollnagel

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Applied ergonomics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Rodrigo ArcuriOswaldo Cruz Foundation - FIOCRUZ. Av. Brasil, 4036/10° Andar, Prédio da Expansão, Manguinhos, 21040-361, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; Production Engineering Program, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro - COPPE/UFRJ. Av. Horácio Macedo, 2030 - Bloco G - Sala 207 - Centro de Tecnologia, Cidade Universitária - Ilha do Fundão, 21941-914, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Electronic address: rodrigoarcuri@poli.ufrj.br.
Hugo Cesar BellasOswaldo Cruz Foundation - FIOCRUZ. Av. Brasil, 4036/10° Andar, Prédio da Expansão, Manguinhos, 21040-361, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Electronic address: hugo.bellas@fiocruz.br.
Denise de Souza FerreiraProduction Engineering Program, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro - COPPE/UFRJ. Av. Horácio Macedo, 2030 - Bloco G - Sala 207 - Centro de Tecnologia, Cidade Universitária - Ilha do Fundão, 21941-914, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Electronic address: denise.sf@ufrj.br.
Bárbara BulhõesOswaldo Cruz Foundation - FIOCRUZ. Av. Brasil, 4036/10° Andar, Prédio da Expansão, Manguinhos, 21040-361, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Electronic address: barbara.andrade@fiocruz.br.
Mario Cesar Rodríguez VidalProduction Engineering Program, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro - COPPE/UFRJ. Av. Horácio Macedo, 2030 - Bloco G - Sala 207 - Centro de Tecnologia, Cidade Universitária - Ilha do Fundão, 21941-914, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Electronic address: mvidal@ergonomia.ufrj.br.
Paulo Victor Rodrigues de CarvalhoNuclear Engineering Institute - IEN/CNEN. R. Hélio de Almeida, 75, Cidade Universitária - Ilha do Fundão, 21941-614, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Electronic address: paulov@ien.gov.br.
Alessandro JatobáOswaldo Cruz Foundation - FIOCRUZ. Av. Brasil, 4036/10° Andar, Prédio da Expansão, Manguinhos, 21040-361, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Electronic address: alessandro.jatoba@fiocruz.br.
Erik HollnagelJönköping University, Gjuterigatan 5, Box 1026, 551 11, Jönköping, Sweden. Electronic address: hollnagel.erik@gmail.com.
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz · BRUniversidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro · BRJönköping University · SENuclear Engineering Institute · BR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As COVID-19 spread across Brazil, it quickly reached remote regions including Amazon's ultra-peripheral locations where patient transportation through rivers is added to the list of obstacles to overcome. This article analyses the pandemic's effects in the access of riverine communities to the prehospital emergency healthcare system in the Brazilian Upper Amazon River region. To do so, we present two studies that by using a Resilience Engineering approach aimed to predict the functioning of the Brazilian Mobile Emergency Medical Service (SAMU) for riverside and coastal areas during the COVID-19 pandemic, based on the normal system functioning. Study I, carried out before the pandemic, applied ethnographic methods for data collection and the Functional Resonance Analysis Method - FRAM for data analysis in order to develop a model of the mobile emergency care in the region during typical conditions of operation. Study II then estimated how changes in variability dynamics would alter system functioning during the pandemic, arriving at three trends that could lead the service to collapse. Finally, the accuracy of predictions is discussed after the pandemic first peaked in the region. Findings reveal that relatively small changes in variability dynamics can deliver strong implications to operating care and safety of expeditions aboard water ambulances. Also, important elements that add to the resilient capabilities of the system are extra-organizational, and thus during the pandemic safety became jeopardized as informal support networks grew fragile. Using FRAM for modelling regular operation enabled prospective scenario analysis that accurately predicted disruptions in providing emergency care to riverine population.

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsAmbulancesHumansProspective StudiesSARS-CoV-2FRAMMobile emergency careResilience engineeringRisk assessmentSafety management

Identifiers

PMID34740073
PMCPMC8557093
OpenAlexW3210861848

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.