Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34738049›Full record

Observational studyJCO precision oncology2021

Clinical Validity of a Prognostic Gene Expression Cluster-Based Model in Human Papillomavirus-Positive Oropharyngeal Carcinoma.

Stefano Cavalieri, Mara S Serafini, Andrea Carenzo, Silvana Canevari, Ruud H Brakenhoff, C René Leemans, Irene H Nauta, Frank Hoebers, Mari F C M van den Hout, Kathrin Scheckenbach and 7 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in JCO precision oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02832102 (Big Data and Models for Personalized Head and Neck Cancer Decision Support), which is not on this map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02832102 unknown statusnot on this map

Big Data and Models for Personalized Head and Neck Cancer Decision Support (BD2Decide)

TypeobservationalSponsorAzienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di ParmaRan2016 to 2019Enrolled1,450ConditionsCancer of Head and NeckArmsStandard treatment of SCCHN patients
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Development of a Clinical Assay to Guide Patient Therapy in HPV-Associated Head and Neck Cancer.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2026
    Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Observational
  5. HPV-driven cancer: from epidemiology to the HPV-driven tumor board proposal, everything you wanted to know but were afraid to ask.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2025
    Review
  6. Personalization of Radiotherapy Dose in HPV Positive Oropharynx Cancer Using GARD.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Increased Abundances of CD16Biomedicines · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 7 institutions in 3 countries.

Stefano CavalieriHead and Neck Medical Oncology Department, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-1294-6859
Mara S SerafiniIntegrated Biology Platform, Department of Applied Research and Technology Development, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-9192-9170
Andrea CarenzoIntegrated Biology Platform, Department of Applied Research and Technology Development, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-6804-9984
Silvana CanevariFondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Ruud H BrakenhoffAmsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Otolaryngology/Head and Neck Surgery, Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
C René LeemansAmsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Otolaryngology/Head and Neck Surgery, Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7887-083X
Irene H NautaAmsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Otolaryngology/Head and Neck Surgery, Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-0318-715X
Frank HoebersDepartment of Radiation Oncology (MAASTRO), Research Institute GROW, Maastricht University, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
Mari F C M van den HoutDepartment of Pathology, Research Institute GROW, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1120-5952
Kathrin ScheckenbachDepartment of Otolaryngology, Medical Faculty, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf. Düsseldorf, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2899-4487
Thomas K HoffmannDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Ulm University Medical Center, Ulm, Germany.
Laura ArdighieriDepartment of Pathology, ASST Spedali Civili of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.
Tito PoliUnit of Maxillofacial Surgery, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Parma-University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8968-1409
Pasquale QuattroneDepartment of Pathology, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Laura D LocatiHead and Neck Medical Oncology Department, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3315-2580
Lisa LicitraHead and Neck Medical Oncology Department, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-0623-4118
Loris De CeccoIntegrated Biology Platform, Department of Applied Research and Technology Development, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-7066-473X
Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori · ITAmsterdam University Medical Centers · NLMaastricht University · NLAzienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale degli Spedali Civili di Brescia · ITHeinrich Heine University Düsseldorf · DEUniversity of Milan · ITUniversity of Parma · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Under common therapeutic regimens, the prognosis of human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive squamous oropharyngeal carcinomas (OPCs) is more favorable than HPV-negative OPCs. However, the prognosis of some tumors is dismal, and validated prognostic factors are missing in clinical practice. The present work aimed to validate the prognostic significance of our published three-cluster model and to compare its prognostic value with those of the 8

methodsPatients with HPV DNA-positive OPCs with locoregionally advanced nonmetastatic disease treated with curative intent (BD2Decide observational study, NCT02832102) were considered as validation cohort. Patients were treated in seven European centers, with expertise in the multidisciplinary management of patients with head and neck cancer. The median follow-up was 46.2 months (95% CI, 41.2 to 50), and data collection was concluded in September 2019. The primary end point of this study was overall survival (OS). Three-clustering models and seven prognostic signatures were compared with our three-cluster model.

resultsThe study population consisted of 235 patients. The three-cluster model confirmed its prognostic value. Two-year OS in each cluster was 100% in the low-risk cluster, 96.6% in the intermediate-risk cluster, and 86.3% in the high-risk cluster (

conclusionThe rigorous clinical selection of the cases included in this study confirmed the robustness of our three-cluster model in HPV-positive OPCs. The prognostic value was found to be independent and superior compared with TNM8. The next step includes the translation of the three-cluster model in clinical practice. This could open the way to future exploration of already available therapies in HPV-positive OPCs tailoring de-escalation or intensification according to the three-cluster model.

Indexed as

AlphapapillomavirusHead and Neck NeoplasmsGene ExpressionHumansNeoplasm StagingPrognosisSquamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck

Identifiers

PMID34738049
PMCPMC8563075
OpenAlexW3210385700

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.