Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34730751›Full record

ArticleRevista de saude publica2021

Excess deaths from all causes and by COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020.

Alcione Miranda Dos Santos, Bruno Feres de Souza, Carolina Abreu de Carvalho, Marcos Adriano Garcia Campos, Bruno Luciano Carneiro Alves de Oliveira, Eduardo Moraes Diniz, Maria Dos Remédios Freitas Carvalho Branco, Rejane Christine de Sousa Queiroz, Vitória Abreu de Carvalho, Waleska Regina Machado Araújo and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Revista de saude publica, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 48 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Regional inequities in myocardial infarction burden in Brazil's public healthcare system.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2026
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  16. Can the Content of Social Networks Explain Epidemic Outbreaks?Population research and policy review · 2023
    Article
  17. Excess mortality from all causes during the COVID-19 pandemic in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Alcione Miranda Dos SantosUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9711-0182
Bruno Feres de SouzaUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Departamento de Engenharia da Computação. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1997-4983
Carolina Abreu de CarvalhoUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7900-4642
Marcos Adriano Garcia CamposUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8924-1203
Bruno Luciano Carneiro Alves de OliveiraUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8053-7972
Eduardo Moraes DinizUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Departamento de Física. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6201-1771
Maria Dos Remédios Freitas Carvalho BrancoUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3537-0840
Rejane Christine de Sousa QueirozUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4019-2011
Vitória Abreu de CarvalhoUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7831-5761
Waleska Regina Machado AraújoUniversidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Medicina. Departamento de Medicina Preventiva, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5758-7947
Antônio Augusto Moura da SilvaUniversidade Federal do Maranhão. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva. São Luís, MA, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4968-5138
Universidade Federal do Maranhão · BRUniversidade de São Paulo · BR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the 2020 all-cause and COVID-19 excess mortality according to sex, age, race/color, and state, and to compare mortality rates by selected causes with that of the five previous years in Brazil.

methodsData from the Mortality Information System were used. Expected deaths for 2020 were estimated from 2015 to 2019 data using a negative binomial log-linear model.

resultsExcess deaths in Brazil in 2020 amounted to 13.7%, and the ratio of excess deaths to COVID-19 deaths was 0.90. Reductions in deaths from cardiovascular diseases (CVD), respiratory diseases, and external causes, and an increase in ill-defined causes were all noted. Excess deaths were also found to be heterogeneous, being higher in the Northern, Center-Western, and Northeastern states. In some states, the number of COVID-19 deaths was lower than that of excess deaths, whereas the opposite occurred in others. Moreover, excess deaths were higher in men aged 20 to 59, and in black, yellow, or indigenous individuals. Meanwhile, excess mortality was lower in women, in individuals aged 80 years or older, and in whites. Additionally, deaths among those aged 0 to 19 were 7.2% lower than expected, with reduction in mortality from respiratory diseases and external causes. There was also a drop in mortality due to external causes in men and in those aged 20 to 39 years. Moreover, reductions in deaths from CVD and neoplasms were noted in some states and groups.

conclusionThere is evidence of underreporting of COVID-19 deaths and of the possible impact of restrictive measures in the reduction of deaths from external causes and respiratory diseases. The impacts of COVID-19 on mortality were heterogeneous among the states and groups, revealing that regional, demographic, socioeconomic, and racial differences expose individuals in distinct ways to the risk of death from both COVID-19 and other causes.

Indexed as

COVID-19NeoplasmsBrazilCause of DeathChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansMaleMortalitySARS-CoV-2White People

Identifiers

PMID34730751
PMCPMC8522736
OpenAlexW3210690442

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.