Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34725255›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Temporal and spatial distribution of health, labor, and crop benefits of climate change mitigation in the United States.

Drew Shindell, Muye Ru, Yuqiang Zhang, Karl Seltzer, Greg Faluvegi, Larissa Nazarenko, Gavin A Schmidt, Luke Parsons, Ariyani Challapalli, Longyi Yang and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. A Flexible Framework for Urgent Public Health Climate Action.American journal of public health · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Health and equity implications of individual adaptation to air pollution in a changing climate.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Air quality equity in US climate policy.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Pneumo news · 2023
    Article
  17. Economy-wide evaluation of CONature communications · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Drew ShindellNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708; drew.shindell@duke.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-1552-4715
Muye RuNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.
Yuqiang ZhangNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.ORCID 0000-0002-9161-7086
Karl SeltzerNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.
Greg FaluvegiCenter for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY 10025.
Larissa NazarenkoCenter for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY 10025.
Gavin A SchmidtNASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025.ORCID 0000-0002-2258-0486
Luke ParsonsNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.
Ariyani ChallapalliNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.
Longyi YangNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.
Alex GlickNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.

Funding

Shared Services Center NASA 80NSSC19M0138
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Societal benefits from climate change mitigation accrue via multiple pathways. We examine the US impacts of emission changes on several factors that are affected by both climate and air quality responses. Nationwide benefits through midcentury stem primarily from air quality improvements, which are realized rapidly, and include human health, labor productivity, and crop yield benefits. Benefits from reduced heat exposure become large around 2060, thereafter often dominating over those from improved air quality. Monetized benefits are in the tens of trillions of dollars for avoided deaths and tens of billions for labor productivity and crop yield increases and reduced hospital expenditures. Total monetized benefits this century are dominated by health and are much larger than in previous analyses due to improved understanding of the human health impacts of exposure to both heat and air pollution. Benefit-cost ratios are therefore much larger than in prior studies, especially those that neglected clean air benefits. Specifically, benefits from clean air exceed costs in the first decade, whereas benefits from climate alone exceed costs in the latter half of the century. Furthermore, monetized US benefits largely stem from US emissions reductions. Increased emphasis on the localized, near-term air quality-related impacts would better align policies with societal benefits and, by reducing the mismatch between perception of climate as a risk distant in space and time and the need for rapid action to mitigate long-term climate change, might help increase acceptance of mitigation policies.

Indexed as

Air PollutantsAir PollutionClimate ChangeCost-Benefit AnalysisCrops, AgriculturalEnvironmental PolicyHumansParticulate MatterUnited StatesAir PollutantsParticulate Matterair pollutionclimate changedecarbonizationhealth impactslabor impacts

Identifiers

PMID34725255
PMCPMC8609628

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.