Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34723165›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2021

Community SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence before and after the second wave of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Harare, Zimbabwe.

Arun Fryatt, Victoria Simms, Tsitsi Bandason, Nicol Redzo, Ioana D Olaru, Chiratidzo E Ndhlovu, Hilda Mujuru, Simbarashe Rusakaniko, Michael Hoelscher, Raquel Rubio-Acero and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. COVID-19 Prevalence among Healthcare Workers. A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Arun FryattBiomedical Research and Training Institute, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Victoria SimmsBiomedical Research and Training Institute, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Tsitsi BandasonBiomedical Research and Training Institute, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Nicol RedzoBiomedical Research and Training Institute, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Ioana D OlaruBiomedical Research and Training Institute, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Chiratidzo E NdhlovuInternal Medicine Unit, University of Zimbabwe Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Hilda MujuruDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Zimbabwe Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Simbarashe RusakanikoDepartment of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Michael HoelscherDivision of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, Medical Center of the University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Raquel Rubio-AceroDivision of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, Medical Center of the University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Ivana PaunovicDivision of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, Medical Center of the University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Andreas WieserDivision of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, Medical Center of the University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Prosper ChonziHarare City Health, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Kudzai MasundaHarare City Health, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Rashida A FerrandBiomedical Research and Training Institute, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Katharina KranzerBiomedical Research and Training Institute, Harare, Zimbabwe.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBBiomedical Research and Training Institute · ZWUniversity of Zimbabwe · ZWGerman Center for Infection Research · DE

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/R010161/1Wellcome Trust 206316/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBy the end of July 2021 Zimbabwe, has reported over 100,000 SARS-CoV-2 infections. The true number of SARS-CoV-2 infections is likely to be much higher. We conducted a seroprevalence survey to estimate the prevalence of past SARS-CoV-2 in three high-density communities in Harare, Zimbabwe before and after the second wave of SARS-CoV-2.

methodsBetween November 2020 and April 2021 we conducted a cross-sectional study of randomly selected households in three high-density communities (Budiriro, Highfield and Mbare) in Harare. Consenting participants answered a questionnaire and a dried blood spot sample was taken. Samples were tested for anti-SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antibodies using the Roche e801 platform.

findingsA total of 2340 individuals participated in the study. SARS-CoV-2 antibody results were available for 70·1% (620/885) and 73·1% (1530/2093) of eligible participants in 2020 and 2021. The median age was 22 (IQR 10-37) years and 978 (45·5%) were men. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence was 19·0% (95% CI 15·1-23·5%) in 2020 and 53·0% (95% CI 49·6-56·4) in 2021. The prevalence ratio was 2·47 (95% CI 1·94-3·15) comparing 2020 with 2021 after adjusting for age, sex, and community. Almost half of all participants who tested positive reported no symptoms in the preceding six months.

interpretationFollowing the second wave, one in two people had been infected with SARS-CoV-2 suggesting high levels of community transmission. Our results suggest that 184,800 (172,900-196,700) SARS-CoV-2 infections occurred in these three communities alone, greatly exceeding the reported number of cases for the whole city. Further seroprevalence surveys are needed to understand transmission during the current third wave despite high prevalence of past infections.

fundingGCRF, Government of Canada, Wellcome Trust, Bavarian State Ministry of Sciences, Research, and the Arts.

Indexed as

SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalenceZimbabwe

Identifiers

PMID34723165
PMCPMC8542175
OpenAlexW3210921108

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.