Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34718232›Full record

ArticleAging2021

Predicting physiological aging rates from a range of quantitative traits using machine learning.

Eric D Sun, Yong Qian, Richard Oppong, Thomas J Butler, Jesse Zhao, Brian H Chen, Toshiko Tanaka, Jian Kang, Carlo Sidore, Francesco Cucca and 7 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Aging, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 29% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Proteomic Markers of Aging and Longevity: A Systematic Review.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Eric D SunLongitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
Yong QianLongitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
Richard OppongLongitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
Thomas J ButlerLongitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
Jesse ZhaoLongitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
Brian H ChenDepartment of Epidemiology, The Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, UC San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.
Toshiko TanakaLongitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
Jian KangDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.
Carlo SidoreIstituto di Ricerca Genetica e Biomedica, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Monserrato, Italy.
Francesco CuccaIstituto di Ricerca Genetica e Biomedica, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Monserrato, Italy.
Stefania BandinelliGeriatric Unit, Azienda Sanitaria di Firenze, Florence, Italy.
Gonçalo R AbecasisDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.
Myriam GorospeLaboratory of Genetics and Genomics, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
Luigi FerrucciLongitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
David SchlessingerLaboratory of Genetics and Genomics, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
Ilya GoldbergViQi, Inc., Santa Barbara, CA 93111, USA.
Jun DingLongitudinal Studies Section, Translational Gerontology Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA.
National Institute on Aging · USInstitute of Genetic and Biomedical Research · ITUniversity of Michigan–Ann Arbor · USAzienda Sanitaria di Firenze · ITHuman Longevity (United States) · USSofia University · US

Funding

GENETICS & EPIDEMIOLOGY OF AGAING - ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS IN THE SARDINIAN POPULN01AG12109 · NIA · CONSIGLIO NAZIONALE DELLE RICERCHE · PI UDA, MANUELA · 2007 to 2011
$7.8M
Tuscany Regional Health Agency--Chianti Follow-up StudyN01AG50002 · NIA · REGIONAL HEALTH AGENCY OF TUSCANY · PI TRAMONTI, LAURA · 2007 to 2011
$2.7M
NIA NIH HHS N01AG12109NIDA NIH HHS N01AG50002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It is widely thought that individuals age at different rates. A method that measures "physiological age" or physiological aging rate independent of chronological age could therefore help elucidate mechanisms of aging and inform an individual's risk of morbidity and mortality. Here we present machine learning frameworks for inferring individual physiological age from a broad range of biochemical and physiological traits including blood phenotypes (e.g., high-density lipoprotein), cardiovascular functions (e.g., pulse wave velocity) and psychological traits (e.g., neuroticism) as main groups in two population cohorts SardiNIA (~6,100 participants) and InCHIANTI (~1,400 participants). The inferred physiological age was highly correlated with chronological age (R2 > 0.8). We further defined an individual's physiological aging rate (PAR) as the ratio of the predicted physiological age to the chronological age. Notably, PAR was a significant predictor of survival, indicating an effect of aging rate on mortality. Our trait-based PAR was correlated with DNA methylation-based epigenetic aging score (r = 0.6), suggesting that both scores capture a common aging process. PAR was also substantially heritable (h2~0.3), and a subsequent genome-wide association study of PAR identified significant associations with two genetic loci, one of which is implicated in telomerase activity. Our findings support PAR as a proxy for an underlying whole-body aging mechanism. PAR may thus be useful to evaluate the efficacy of treatments that target aging-related deficits and controllable epidemiological factors.

Indexed as

AgingMachine LearningModels, BiologicalAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsDNA MethylationFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNeuroticismPhenotypeaging clockmachine learningmortalitypersonalized medicinephysiological aging ratequantitative trait

Identifiers

PMID34718232
PMCPMC8580337
OpenAlexW3209777884

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.