Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34711538›Full record

ArticleThe European respiratory journal2022

Baseline IL-6 is a biomarker for unfavourable tuberculosis treatment outcomes: a multisite discovery and validation study.

Akshay N Gupte, Pavan Kumar, Mariana Araújo-Pereira, Vandana Kulkarni, Mandar Paradkar, Neeta Pradhan, Pradeep Menon, Chandrasekaran Padmapriyadarsini, Luke-Elizabeth Hanna, Shri Vijay Bala Yogendra Shivakumar and 14 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The European respiratory journal, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Inhalational therapy of pulmonary infectionActa pharmaceutica Sinica. B · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Akshay N GupteDivision of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Pavan KumarNational Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai, India.
Mariana Araújo-PereiraInstituto Gonçalo Moniz, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Salvador, Brazil.
Vandana KulkarniCenter for Clinical Global Health Education, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Mandar ParadkarCenter for Clinical Global Health Education, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Neeta PradhanCenter for Clinical Global Health Education, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Pradeep MenonNational Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai, India.
Chandrasekaran PadmapriyadarsiniNational Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai, India.
Luke-Elizabeth HannaNational Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai, India.
Shri Vijay Bala Yogendra ShivakumarJohns Hopkins India Private Limited, Pune, India.
Neesha RockwoodWellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Elsa Du BruynWellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Rajesh KaryakarteDept of Microbiology, Byramjee-Jeejeebhoy Government Medical College, Pune, India.
Sanjay GaikwadDept of Pulmonary Medicine, Byramjee-Jeejeebhoy Government Medical College, Pune, India.ORCID 0000-0002-2411-0373
Robert BollingerDivision of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Jonathan GolubDivision of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2398-3145
Nikhil GupteDivision of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA agupte1@jhmi.edu.
Vijay ViswanathanProfessor M. Viswanathan Diabetes Research Centre, Chennai, India.
Robert J WilkinsonWellcome Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Vidya MaveDivision of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Subash BabuNational Institutes of Health - National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis - International Center for Excellence in Research, Chennai, India.
Hardy KornfeldDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester, MA, USA.
Bruno B AndradeInstituto Gonçalo Moniz, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Salvador, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-6833-3811
Amita GuptaDivision of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Funding

Vaccine Response and Immunotherapeutics SWGP30AI094189 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Richard E. Chaisson · 2012 to 2026
$67.0M
The Johns Hopkins Baltimore-Washington-India Clinical Trials Unit (BWI CTU)UM1AI069465 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Charles W. Flexner, Amita Gupta · 2012 to 2026
$34.1M
India International Center for Excellence in ResearchZIAAI001065 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI NUTMAN, THOMAS · 2009 to 2025
$19.0M
The Impact of Diabetes on TB treatment outcomesR01AI097494 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GOLUB, JONATHAN E. · 2013 to 2017
$3.0M
Inflammatory determinants of disease severity and treatment outcome in TB patientsU01AI115940 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN · PI SHER, ALAN, WILKINSON, ROBERT JOHN · 2015 to 2019
$1.1M
Phenotype, Progression and Immune Correlates of Post-Tuberculosis Lung DiseaseK99AI151094 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GUPTE, AKSHAY NITIN · 2020 to 2021
$271k
Cancer Research UK FC001218NIAID NIH HHS K99 AI151094NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI097494NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI115940NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI069465Wellcome Trust 104803Wellcome Trust 203135Wellcome Trust FC001218
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBiomarkers of unfavourable tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes are needed to accelerate new drug and regimen development. Whether plasma cytokine levels can predict unfavourable TB treatment outcomes is unclear.

methodsWe identified and internally validated the association between 20

resultsPre-treatment interferon-γ, interleukin (IL)-13 and IL-6 were associated with treatment failure in the discovery analysis. Internal validation confirmed higher pre-treatment IL-6 concentrations among failure cases compared with controls. External validation among predominantly diabetic TB patients found an association between pre-treatment IL-6 concentrations and subsequent recurrence and death. Similarly, external validation among predominantly HIV co-infected TB patients found an association between pre-treatment IL-6 concentrations and subsequent treatment failure and death. In a pooled analysis of 363 TB cases from the Indian and South African validation cohorts, high pre-treatment IL-6 concentrations were associated with higher risk of failure (adjusted OR (aOR) 2.16, 95% CI 1.08-4.33; p=0.02), recurrence (aOR 5.36, 95% CI 2.48-11.57; p<0.001) and death (aOR 4.62, 95% CI 1.95-10.95; p<0.001). Adding baseline IL-6 to a risk prediction model comprised of low body mass index, high smear grade and cavitation improved model performance by 15% (C-statistic 0.66

conclusionsPre-treatment IL-6 is a biomarker for unfavourable TB treatment outcomes. Future studies should identify optimal IL-6 concentrations for point-of-care risk prediction.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsTuberculosisAdultBiomarkersHumansIndiaInterleukin-6BiomarkersInterleukin-6

Identifiers

PMID34711538
PMCPMC7612881

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.