Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34710127›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

Heart-rate-variability (HRV), predicts outcomes in COVID-19.

Maartje B A Mol, Maud T A Strous, Frits H M van Osch, F Jeroen Vogelaar, Dennis G Barten, Moshe Farchi, Norbert A Foudraine, Yori Gidron

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 68 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
68citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
15.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

68 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 121 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Association of non-linear dynamics of heart rate variability with all-cause mortality in patients with sarcoidosis.Sarcoidosis, vasculitis, and diffuse lung diseases : official journal of WASOG · 2025
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  16. Attenuated cardiac autonomic function in patients with long-COVID with impaired orthostatic hemodynamics.Clinical autonomic research : official journal of the Clinical Autonomic Research Society · 2025
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8 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Maartje B A MolDepartment of Surgery, VieCuri Medical Centre Venlo, Venlo, The Netherlands.
Maud T A StrousDepartment of Surgery, VieCuri Medical Centre Venlo, Venlo, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7116-4465
Frits H M van OschDepartment of Epidemiology, VieCuri Medical Centre Venlo, Venlo, The Netherlands.
F Jeroen VogelaarDepartment of Surgery, VieCuri Medical Centre Venlo, Venlo, The Netherlands.
Dennis G BartenDepartment of Emergency Medicine, VieCuri Medical Centre Venlo, Venlo, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-7185-9491
Moshe FarchiSchool of Social Work, Tel-Hai College, Qiryat Shemona, Israël.ORCID 0000-0003-3041-4872
Norbert A FoudraineDepartment of Intensive Care, VieCuri Medical Centre Venlo, Venlo, The Netherlands.
Yori GidronFaculty of Welfare and Health Sciences, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel.
VieCuri Medisch Centrum · NLTel Hai Academic College · ILUniversity of Haifa · IL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPatients with COVID-19 present with a variety of clinical manifestations, ranging from mild or asymptomatic disease to severe illness and death. Whilst previous studies have clarified these and several other aspects of COVID-19, one of the ongoing challenges regarding COVID-19 is to determine which patients are at risk of adverse outcomes of COVID-19 infection. It is hypothesized that this is the result of insufficient inhibition of the immune response, with the vagus nerve being an important neuro-immuno-modulator of inflammation. Vagus nerve activity can be non-invasively indexed by heart-rate-variability (HRV). Therefore, we aimed to assess the prognostic value of HRV, as a surrogate marker for vagus nerve activity, in predicting mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) referral, in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

methodsA retrospective cohort study including all consecutive patients (n = 271) diagnosed and hospitalized with COVID-19 between March 2020 and May 2020, without a history of cardiac arrhythmias (including atrial and ventricular premature contractions), pacemaker, or current bradycardia (heart rate <50 bpm) or tachycardia (heart rate >110 bpm). HRV was based on one 10s ECG recorded at admission. 3-week survival and ICU referral were examined.

resultsHRV indexed as standard deviation of normal to normal heartbeat intervals (SDNN) predicted survival (H.R. = 0.53 95%CI: 0.31-0.92). This protective role was observed only in patients aged 70 years and older, not in younger patients. HRV below median value also predicted ICU referral within the first week of hospitalization (H.R = 0.51, 95%CI: 0.29-0.90, P = 0.021).

conclusionHigher HRV predicts greater chances of survival, especially in patients aged 70 years and older with COVID-19, independent of major prognostic factors. Low HRV predicts ICU indication and admission in the first week after hospitalization.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCOVID-19Electrocardiography, AmbulatoryFemaleHeartHeart AtriaHeart RateHumansMaleMiddle AgedMyocardiumPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34710127
PMCPMC8553073
OpenAlexW3208354189

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.