Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34707317›Full record

Observational studyNature medicine2021

The impact of school opening model on SARS-CoV-2 community incidence and mortality.

Zeynep Ertem, Elissa M Schechter-Perkins, Emily Oster, Polly van den Berg, Isabella Epshtein, Nathorn Chaiyakunapruk, Fernando A Wilson, Eli Perencevich, Warren B P Pettey, Westyn Branch-Elliman and 1 more

Erratum issuedAbstract readObservational Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Observational study in Nature medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Measures implemented in the school setting to contain the COVID-19 pandemicThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. New Diagnoses of Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis Early in the COVID-19 Pandemic: Analysis of a Large United States Commercial Insurance Database.Journal of clinical rheumatology : practical reports on rheumatic & musculoskeletal diseases · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Socioeconomic disparities in the reopening of schools during the pandemic in Chile.International journal of educational development · 2023
    Article
  9. Risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection in primary and secondary school students and staff in England in the 2020/2021 school year: a longitudinal study.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2023
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Schools under mandatory testing can mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Zeynep ErtemSystems Science and Industrial Engineering Department, Binghamton University, State University of New York, New York, NY, USA.
Elissa M Schechter-PerkinsDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine and Boston Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1798-9663
Emily OsterBrown University Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, Providence, RI, USA.
Polly van den BergBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston, MA, USA.
Isabella EpshteinVA Boston Center for Healthcare Organization and Implementation Research (CHOIR), Boston, MA, USA.
Nathorn ChaiyakunaprukDepartment of Pharmacotherapy, University of Utah College of Pharmacy, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Fernando A WilsonMatheson Center for Health Care Studies, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Eli PerencevichCenter for Access & Delivery Research and Evaluation, Iowa City VA Health Care System, Iowa City, IA, USA.
Warren B P PetteyDepartment of Pharmacotherapy, University of Utah College of Pharmacy, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4436-3319
Westyn Branch-Elliman *VA Boston Center for Healthcare Organization and Implementation Research (CHOIR), Boston, MA, USA. westyn.branch-elliman@va.gov.
Richard E Nelson *Matheson Center for Health Care Studies, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.

Funding

K12 Cardiopulmonary Implementation Science Scholars ProgramK12HL138049 · NHLBI · UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS MED SCH WORCESTER · PI LEMON, STEPHENIE C., LINDENAUER, PETER KYLE · 2017 to 2021
$2.7M
U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) 1K12HL138049-01
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The role that traditional and hybrid in-person schooling modes contribute to the community incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections relative to fully remote schooling is unknown. We conducted an event study using a retrospective nationwide cohort evaluating the effect of school mode on SARS-CoV-2 cases during the 12 weeks after school opening (July-September 2020, before the Delta variant was predominant), stratified by US Census region. After controlling for case rate trends before school start, state-level mitigation measures and community activity level, SARS-CoV-2 incidence rates were not statistically different in counties with in-person learning versus remote school modes in most regions of the United States. In the South, there was a significant and sustained increase in cases per week among counties that opened in a hybrid or traditional mode versus remote, with weekly effects ranging from 9.8 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.7-16.1) to 21.3 (95% CI = 9.9-32.7) additional cases per 100,000 persons, driven by increasing cases among 0-9 year olds and adults. Schools can reopen for in-person learning without substantially increasing community case rates of SARS-CoV-2; however, the impacts are variable. Additional studies are needed to elucidate the underlying reasons for the observed regional differences more fully.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolCOVID-19HumansRetrospective StudiesRiskSARS-CoV-2SchoolsTeachingUnited StatesYoung Adult

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.