ArticlePloS one2021
New estimations of child marriage: Evidence from 98 low- and middle-income countries.
Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Influence of maternal age on birth and infant outcomes at 6 months: a cohort study with quantitative bias analysis.International journal of epidemiology · 2023Trial
- Impact of tropical cyclones on child marriage rates in 14 affected countries.Environmental research, health : ERH · 2026Article
- A Social-Ecological Model to Explore Multi-Faceted Drivers of Child Marriage: An Iterative Qualitative Study in Southern Bangladesh.Qualitative health research · 2026Article
- Assessing the impact of early marriage and socioeconomic determinants on under-five morbidity: a cross-country analysis in South Asia.BMC pediatrics · 2026Article
- Small area geographic variation in girl and boy child marriage in India: a district-level longitudinal analysis, 2016 and 2021.Journal of global health · 2025Article
- Exploring Prevalence and Determinants of Early Marriage Through a Cross-Sectional Study: Insights From Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey 2022.Health science reports · 2025Article
- The effects of early marriages on academic performance of marginalized girls in secondary schools of central province in Zambia.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Article
- Association between child marriage and high blood glucose level in women: A birth cohort analysis.Public health in practice (Oxford, England) · 2024Article
- Co-creating a global shared research agenda on violence against women in low- and middle-income countries.Health research policy and systems · 2024Article
- Prevalence of girl and boy child marriage across states and Union Territories in India, 1993-2021: a repeated cross-sectional study.The Lancet. Global health · 2024Article
- Prevalence of child marriage and associated factors among reproductive age women in Harari regional state, eastern Ethiopia, 2022: a community-based study.BMC women's health · 2023Article
- Analyzing factors associated with time to age at first marriage among women in Ethiopia: log logistic-gamma shared frailty model.BMC women's health · 2022Article
- Modeling the determinant of time to age at first marriage among women in Ethiopia using Cox models with mixed effects.Reproductive health · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
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Abstract
The Sustainable Development Goals include a target on eliminating child marriage, a human rights abuse. Yet, the indicator used in the SDG framework is a summary statistic and does not provide a full picture of the incidence of marriage at different ages. This paper aims to address this limitation by providing an alternative method of measuring child marriage. The paper reviews recent data on nuptiality and captures evidence of changes in the proportion married and in the age at marriage, in 98 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Using data collected from nationally representative Demographic and Health Surveys and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys, survival analysis is applied to estimate (a) age-specific marriage hazard rates among girls before age 18; and (b) the number of girls that were married before age 18 in 2020. Results show that the vast majority of girls remain unmarried until age 10. Child marriage rates increase gradually until age 14 and accelerate significantly thereafter at ages 15-17. By accounting for both single-year-age-specific child marriage hazard rates and the age structure of the population with a survival analysis approach, lower estimates in countries with a rapid decrease in child marriage and higher estimates in countries with constant or slightly rising child marriage rates relative to the direct approach are obtained.
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