Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34705827›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2021

Validation of a spatial agent-based model for Taenia solium transmission ("CystiAgent") against a large prospective trial of control strategies in northern Peru.

Ian W Pray, Francesco Pizzitutti, Gabrielle Bonnet, Eloy Gonzales-Gustavson, Wayne Wakeland, William K Pan, William E Lambert, Armando E Gonzalez, Hector H Garcia, Seth E O'Neal and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 29% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Ian W PraySchool of Public Health, Oregon Health & Science University and Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-6935-5123
Francesco PizzituttiSchool of Public Health, Oregon Health & Science University and Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-5532-8770
Gabrielle BonnetSchool of Public Health, Oregon Health & Science University and Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-3539-5001
Eloy Gonzales-GustavsonTropical and Highlands Veterinary Research Institute, School of Veterinary Medicine, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, EL Mantaro, Peru.ORCID 0000-0001-7328-2983
Wayne WakelandSystems Science Program, Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.
William K PanDuke Global Health Institute & Nicholas School of Environment, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7407-7399
William E LambertSchool of Public Health, Oregon Health & Science University and Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.
Armando E GonzalezSchool of Veterinary Medicine, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Peru.ORCID 0000-0003-1909-1873
Hector H GarciaSchool of Sciences, Department of Microbiology, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru.
Seth E O'NealSchool of Public Health, Oregon Health & Science University and Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.
Cysticercosis Working Group in Peru.
Portland State University · USNational University of San Marcos · PEDuke University · USUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia · PE

Funding

Optimizing ring screening strategy for control of Taenia solium infectionR01NS080645 · NINDS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI BUSTOS, JAVIER A, O'NEAL, SETH E · 2014 to 2023
$5.3M
Development and validation of an agent-based model to promote evidence-based control of Taenia solium cysticercosisR01AI141554 · NIAID · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI O'NEAL, SETH E · 2019 to 2023
$3.3M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI141554NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS080645
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe pork tapeworm (Taenia solium) is a parasitic helminth that imposes a major health and economic burden on poor rural populations around the world. As recognized by the World Health Organization, a key barrier for achieving control of T. solium is the lack of an accurate and validated simulation model with which to study transmission and evaluate available control and elimination strategies. CystiAgent is a spatially-explicit agent based model for T. solium that is unique among T. solium models in its ability to represent key spatial and environmental features of transmission and simulate spatially targeted interventions, such as ring strategy. METHODS/PRINCIPAL

findingsWe validated CystiAgent against results from the Ring Strategy Trial (RST)-a large cluster-randomized trial conducted in northern Peru that evaluated six unique interventions for T. solium control in 23 villages. For the validation, each intervention strategy was replicated in CystiAgent, and the simulated prevalences of human taeniasis, porcine cysticercosis, and porcine seroincidence were compared against prevalence estimates from the trial. Results showed that CystiAgent produced declines in transmission in response to each of the six intervention strategies, but overestimated the effect of interventions in the majority of villages; simulated prevalences for human taenasis and porcine cysticercosis at the end of the trial were a median of 0.53 and 5.0 percentages points less than prevalence observed at the end of the trial, respectively. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The validation of CystiAgent represented an important step towards developing an accurate and reliable T. solium transmission model that can be deployed to fill critical gaps in our understanding of T. solium transmission and control. To improve model accuracy, future versions would benefit from improved data on pig immunity and resistance, field effectiveness of anti-helminthic treatment, and factors driving spatial clustering of T. solium infections including dispersion and contact with T. solium eggs in the environment.

Indexed as

AnimalsCysticercosisEpidemiological ModelsFemaleHumansPeruProspective StudiesRural PopulationSpatial AnalysisSwineSwine DiseasesTaenia soliumZoonoses

Identifiers

PMID34705827
PMCPMC8575314
OpenAlexW3209672296

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.