Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34704206›Full record

ArticleJournal of general internal medicine2022

Medicare Claim-Based National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale to Predict 30-Day Mortality and Hospital Readmission.

Amit Kumar, Indrakshi Roy, Pamela R Bosch, Corey R Fehnel, Nicholas Garnica, Jon Cook, Meghan Warren, Amol M Karmarkar

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of general internal medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Gabapentin and cognitive impairment after traumatic brain injury: A multinational cohort of 49,925 patients.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2026
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  12. Association of Caregiver Availability and Training With Patient Community Discharge After Stroke.Archives of rehabilitation research and clinical translation · 2023
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  13. Validation of theCirculation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Amit KumarDepartment of Physical Therapy, College of Health and Human Services, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA.
Indrakshi RoyCenter for Health Equity Research, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, USA.
Pamela R BoschDepartment of Physical Therapy, College of Health and Human Services, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA.
Corey R FehnelDepartment of Neurology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Marcus Institute for Aging Research, 1200 Centre Street, Boston, MA, 02131, USA.
Nicholas GarnicaDepartment of Physical Therapy, College of Health and Human Services, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA.
Jon CookThe Rehabilitation Hospital of Northern Arizona, Ernest Health, Flagstaff, Arizona, USA.
Meghan WarrenDepartment of Physical Therapy, College of Health and Human Services, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA.
Amol M KarmarkarDepartment of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, School of Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, 23298, USA. Amol.Karmarkar@vcuhealth.org.
Northern Arizona University · USBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USVirginia Commonwealth University · US

Funding

SSCIMA: Integrating Analysis of Socio-economic Sub-population Dynamics to Improve Spatial Models of Infectious DiseaseU54MD012388 · NIMHD · NORTHERN ARIZONA UNIVERSITY · PI Samantha Jane Sabo · 2017 to 2026
$49.7M
Intensive Palliative Care: Improving the Process of Palliative Ventilator Withdrawal Among Critically Ill Older AdultsK23AG066929 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI FEHNEL, COREY R · 2020 to 2024
$972k
Comparing Access and Effectiveness of Post-Acute Care Settings Among Medicare BeneficiariesK01HD086290 · NICHD · VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY · PI KARMARKAR, AMOL · 2016 to 2020
$636k
The Clinical Course and Outcomes of Older Stroke Patients with Feeding TubesR03AG060186 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI FEHNEL, COREY R · 2018 to 2019
$245k
Association of Timing of Inpatient Rehabilitation in Ischemic Stroke and Health OutcomesR03HD096372 · NICHD · NORTHERN ARIZONA UNIVERSITY · PI KUMAR, AMIT · 2018 to 2019
$160k
NIA NIH HHS K23 AG066929NIA NIH HHS R03 AG060186NICHD NIH HHS K01 HD086290NICHD NIH HHS R03 HD096372NIMHD NIH HHS U54 MD012388
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) penalizes hospitals for higher than expected 30-day mortality rates using methods without accounting for condition severity risk adjustment. For patients with stroke, CMS claims did not quantify stroke severity until recently, when the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) reporting began.

objectiveExamine the predictive ability of claim-based NIHSS to predict 30-day mortality and 30-day hospital readmission in patients with ischemic stroke.

designRetrospective cohort study of Medicare claims data. PATIENTS: Medicare beneficiaries with ischemic stroke (N=43,241) acute hospitalization between October 2016 and November 2017. MEASUREMENTS: All-cause 30-day mortality and 30-day hospital readmission. NIHSS score was derived from ICD-10 codes and stratified into the following: minor to moderate, moderate, moderate to severe, and severe categories.

resultsAmong 43,241 patients with ischemic stroke with NIHSS from 2,659 US hospitals, 64.6% had minor to moderate stroke, 14.3% had moderate, 12.7% had moderate to severe, and 8.5% had a severe stroke,10.1% died within 30 days, 12.1% were readmitted within 30 days. The NIHSS exhibited stronger discriminant property (C-statistic 0.83, 95% CI: 0.82-0.84) for 30-day mortality compared to Elixhauser (0.74, 95% CI: 0.73-0.75). A monotonic increase in the adjusted 30-day mortality risk occurred relative to minor to moderate stroke category: hazard ratio [HR]=2.92 (95% CI=2.59-3.29) for moderate stroke, HR=5.49 (95% CI=4.90-6.15) for moderate to severe stroke, and HR=7.82 (95% CI=6.95-8.80) for severe stroke. After accounting for competing risk of mortality, there was a significantly higher readmission risk in the moderate stroke (HR=1.11, 95% CI=1.03-1.20), but significantly lower readmission risk in the severe stroke (HR=0.84, 95% CI=0.74-0.95) categories. LIMITATION: Timing of NIHSS reporting during hospitalization is unknown.

conclusionsMedicare claim-based NIHSS is significantly associated with 30-day mortality in Medicare patients with ischemic stroke and significantly improves discriminant property relative to the Elixhauser comorbidity index.

Indexed as

Ischemic StrokeStrokeAgedHospital MortalityHumansMedicareNational Institutes of Health (U.S.)Patient ReadmissionRetrospective StudiesUnited Statesadministrative dataCMScompeting riskElixhauserstroke severitysurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID34704206
PMCPMC9411458
OpenAlexW3211305236

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.