Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34703079›Full record

ArticleNeurocomputing2022

Digital twins based on bidirectional LSTM and GAN for modelling the COVID-19 pandemic.

César Quilodrán-Casas, Vinicius L S Silva, Rossella Arcucci, Claire E Heaney, YiKe Guo, Christopher C Pain

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurocomputing, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 49% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Real-time updating of dynamic social networks for COVID-19 vaccination strategies.Journal of ambient intelligence and humanized computing · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

César Quilodrán-CasasData Science Institute, Department of Computing, Imperial College London, UK.
Vinicius L S SilvaDepartment of Earth Science & Engineering, Imperial College London, UK.
Rossella ArcucciData Science Institute, Department of Computing, Imperial College London, UK.
Claire E HeaneyDepartment of Earth Science & Engineering, Imperial College London, UK.
YiKe GuoData Science Institute, Department of Computing, Imperial College London, UK.
Christopher C PainData Science Institute, Department of Computing, Imperial College London, UK.
Imperial College London · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has now spread throughout the globe infecting over 150 million people and causing the death of over 3.2 million people. Thus, there is an urgent need to study the dynamics of epidemiological models to gain a better understanding of how such diseases spread. While epidemiological models can be computationally expensive, recent advances in machine learning techniques have given rise to neural networks with the ability to learn and predict complex dynamics at reduced computational costs. Here we introduce two digital twins of a SEIRS model applied to an idealised town. The SEIRS model has been modified to take account of spatial variation and, where possible, the model parameters are based on official virus spreading data from the UK. We compare predictions from one digital twin based on a data-corrected Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory network with predictions from another digital twin based on a predictive Generative Adversarial Network. The predictions given by these two frameworks are accurate when compared to the original SEIRS model data. Additionally, these frameworks are data-agnostic and could be applied to towns, idealised or real, in the UK or in other countries. Also, more compartments could be included in the SEIRS model, in order to study more realistic epidemiological behaviour.

Indexed as

Deep learningDigital twinsGenerative adversarial networksLong short-term memory networksReduced order models

Identifiers

PMID34703079
PMCPMC8531233
OpenAlexW3163062825

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.