ArticleNature communications2021
Increasing large wildfires over the western United States linked to diminishing sea ice in the Arctic.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 62 citations in OpenAlex.
- The Silent Expansion of Fire Activity in Continental Tropical Asia shaped by natural and anthropogenic forces.Nature communications · 2026Article
- A snow-fire bridge mechanism for the 2025 Southern California winter wildfire.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Attributing climate and weather extremes to Northern Hemisphere sea ice and terrestrial snow: progress, challenges and ways forward.NPJ climate and atmospheric science · 2025Review
- Warm Arctic-Cold Eurasia pattern helps predict spring wildfire burned area in West Siberia.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Rapid summer Russian Arctic sea-ice loss enhances the risk of recent Eastern Siberian wildfires.Nature communications · 2024Article
- The role of interdecadal climate oscillations in driving Arctic atmospheric river trends.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Quantifying Exposure to Wildfire Smoke Among Schoolchildren in California, 2006 to 2021.JAMA network open · 2023Article
- Widespread Wildfires Over the Western United States in 2020 Linked to Emissions Reductions During COVID-19.Geophysical research letters · 2022Article
- Enhanced simulated early 21st century Arctic sea ice loss due to CMIP6 biomass burning emissions.Science advances · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
The compound nature of large wildfires in combination with complex physical and biophysical processes affecting variations in hydroclimate and fuel conditions makes it difficult to directly connect wildfire changes over fire-prone regions like the western United States (U.S.) with anthropogenic climate change. Here we show that increasing large wildfires during autumn over the western U.S. are fueled by more fire-favorable weather associated with declines in Arctic sea ice during preceding months on both interannual and interdecadal time scales. Our analysis (based on observations, climate model sensitivity experiments, and a multi-model ensemble of climate simulations) demonstrates and explains the Arctic-driven teleconnection through regional circulation changes with the poleward-shifted polar jet stream and enhanced fire-favorable surface weather conditions. The fire weather changes driven by declining Arctic sea ice during the past four decades are of similar magnitude to other leading modes of climate variability such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation that also influence fire weather in the western U.S.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.