Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34699760›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental research2022

Can weather help explain 'why now?': The potential role of hourly temperature as a stroke trigger.

Sebastian T Rowland, Lawrence G Chillrud, Amelia K Boehme, Ander Wilson, Johnathan Rush, Allan C Just, Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Stroke and climate change: A World Stroke Organization scientific statement.International journal of stroke : official journal of the International Stroke Society · 2026
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Precipitation, EMS use, and time to presentation of Acute Ischemic stroke in the get with the guidelines-stroke registry.Journal of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases : the official journal of National Stroke Association · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Nocturnal heat exposure and stroke risk.European heart journal · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Sebastian T RowlandDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States. Electronic address: sr3463@cumc.columbia.edu.
Lawrence G ChillrudDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States.
Amelia K BoehmeDepartments of Neurology, Columbia University Medical School and Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States.
Ander WilsonDepartment of Statistics, Colorado State University, United States.
Johnathan RushDepartment of Environmental Medicine and Public Health, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States.
Allan C JustDepartment of Environmental Medicine and Public Health, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States.
Marianthi-Anna KioumourtzoglouDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States.
Columbia University · USIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USColorado State University · USColumbia University Irving Medical Center · US

Funding

True Metal fac coreP30ES009089 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MATTHEW S PERZANOWSKI · 1998 to 2026
$44.7M
The Mount Sinai Transdisciplinary Center on Early Environmental ExposuresP30ES023515 · NIEHS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Manish Arora · 2014 to 2026
$21.3M
Supplemental Training in Making Data FAIR and AI/ML ReadyT32ES007322 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Pam R Factor-Litvak, Allison Kupsco · 2000 to 2026
$12.1M
Principal Component Pursuit to Assess Exposure to Environmental Mixtures in Epidemiologic StudiesR01ES028805 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI KIOUMOURTZOGLOU, MARIANTHI-ANNA · 2018 to 2021
$2.2M
Interdisciplinary Training in Climate and HealthT32ES023770 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SHAMAN, JEFFREY L · 2014 to 2019
$1.5M
Prenatal Exposure to Endocrine Disrupters, DNA Methylation, and Childhood ObesityR00ES023450 · NIEHS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI JUST, ALLAN C. · 2016 to 2018
$747k
Crowd-Sourced Traffic Data: Predicting Air Pollution & Ischemic StrokeR21ES030093 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI BOEHME, AMELIA K, HILPERT, MARKUS · 2019 to 2021
$450k
Racial Disparities, Influenza Like Illness and the Association between Short-term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution and Cardiovascular OutcomesR21MD012451 · NIMHD · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI BOEHME, AMELIA K · 2017 to 2018
$440k
NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES009089NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES023515NIEHS NIH HHS R00 ES023450NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES028805NIEHS NIH HHS R21 ES030093NIEHS NIH HHS T32 ES007322NIEHS NIH HHS T32 ES023770NIMHD NIH HHS R21 MD012451
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile evidence suggests that daily ambient temperature exposure influences stroke risk, little is known about the potential triggering role of ultra short-term temperature.

methodsWe examined the association between hourly temperature and ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, separately, and identified any relevant lags of exposure among adult New York State residents from 2000 to 2015. Cases were identified via ICD-9 codes from the New York Department of Health Statewide Planning and Reearch Cooperative System. We estimated ambient temperature up to 36 h prior to estimated stroke onset based on patient residential ZIP Code. We applied a time-stratified case-crossover study design; control periods were matched to case periods by year, month, day of week, and hour of day. Additionally, we assessed effect modification by leading stroke risk factors hypertension and atrial fibrillation.

resultsWe observed 578,181 ischemic and 164,755 hemorrhagic strokes. Among ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes respectively, the mean (standard deviation; SD) patient age was 71.8 (14.6) and 66.8 (17.4) years, with 55% and 49% female. Temperature ranged from -29.5 °C to 39.2 °C, with mean (SD) 10.9 °C (10.3 °C). We found linear relationships for both stroke types. Higher temperature was associated with ischemic stroke over the 7 h following exposure; a 10 °C increase over 7 h was associated with 5.1% (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 3.8, 6.4%) increase in hourly stroke rate. In contrast, temperature was negatively associated with hemorrhagic stroke over 5 h, with a 5-h cumulative association of -6.2% (95% CI: 8.6, -3.7%). We observed suggestive evidence of a larger association with hemorrhagic stroke among patients with hypertension and a smaller association with ischemic stroke among those with atrial fibrillation.

conclusionHourly temperature was positively associated with ischemic stroke and negatively associated with hemorrhagic stroke. Our results suggest that ultra short-term weather influences stroke risk and hypertension may confer vulnerability.

Indexed as

StrokeWeatherAdultCross-Over StudiesFemaleHot TemperatureHumansMaleRisk FactorsTemperatureClimate changeDistributed lag modelHypertensionStroke

Identifiers

PMID34699760
PMCPMC8810591
OpenAlexW3208108778

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.