Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34695218›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of preventive cardiology2021

Long-term cumulative blood pressure in young adults and incident heart failure, coronary heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular disease: The CARDIA study.

Chike C Nwabuo, Duke Appiah, Henrique T Moreira, Henrique D Vasconcellos, Yuichiro Yano, Jared P Reis, Ravi V Shah, Venkatesh L Murthy, Norrina B Allen, Stephen Sidney and 6 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of preventive cardiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 68 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
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  4. Repeated Health Screening Measures and Incident Ischemic Stroke: Evidence From a Korean Population Study.Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi · 2026
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  16. Tracking of blood pressure levels from childhood.Pediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany) · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 10 institutions in 1 country.

Chike C NwabuoJohns Hopkins University, USA.
Duke AppiahDepartment of Public Health, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, USA.
Henrique T MoreiraJohns Hopkins University, USA.
Henrique D VasconcellosJohns Hopkins University, USA.
Yuichiro YanoDepartment of Family Medicine and Community Health, Duke University, USA.
Jared P ReisNational Institute of Health, USA.
Ravi V ShahHarvard Medical School, USA.
Venkatesh L MurthyUniversity of Michigan, USA.
Norrina B AllenNorthwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, USA.
Stephen SidneyKaiser Permanente Northern California, Division of Research, USA.
Paul MuntnerUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham, USA.
Cora E LewisUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham, USA.
Donald M Lloyd-JonesNorthwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, USA.
Pamela J SchreinerUniversity of Minnesota School of Public Health, USA.
Samuel S GiddingNemours Cardiac Center, Alfred I duPont Hospital for Children, USA.
João A C LimaJohns Hopkins University, USA.
Johns Hopkins University · USNorthwestern University · USUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · USAlfred I. duPont Hospital for Children · USDuke University · USHarvard University · USKaiser Permanente · USTexas Tech University · USUniversity of Michigan–Ann Arbor · USUniversity of Minnesota · US

Funding

Implications of metabolism on healthy aging in African and Caucasian Americans: the Health ABC studyR01AG059729 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MURTHY, VENKATESH LOCHARLA, NEWMAN, ANNE B. · 2018 to 2022
$3.1M
Molecular markers of early cardiometabolic health transitions in the CARDIA studyR01HL136685 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MURTHY, VENKATESH LOCHARLA, SHAH, RAVI · 2017 to 2021
$2.6M
NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800006INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800007INHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL136685NIA NIH HHS R01 AG059729
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsCumulative blood pressure (BP) is a measure that incorporates the severity and duration of BP exposure. The prognostic significance of cumulative BP in young adults for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in comparison to BP severity alone is, however, unclear. METHODS AND

resultsWe investigated 3667 Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults participants who attended six visits over 15 years (year-0 (1985-1986), year-2, year-5, year-7, year-l0, and year-15 exams). Cumulative BP was calculated as the area under the curve (mmHg × years) from year 0 through year 15. Cox models assessed the association between cumulative BP (year 0 through year 15), current BP (year 15), and BP change (year 0 and year 15) and CVD outcomes. Mean (standard deviation) age at year 15 was 40.2 (3.6) years, 44.1% were men, and 44.1% were African-American. Over a median follow-up of 16 years, there were 47 heart failure (HF), 103 coronary heart disease (CHD), 71 stroke, and 191 CVD events. Cumulative systolic BP (SBP) was associated with HF (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.14 (1.58-2.90)), CHD (HR = 1.49 (1.19-1.87)), stroke (HR = 1.81 (1.38-2.37)), and CVD (HR = 1.73 (1.47-2.05)). For CVD, the C-statistic for SBP (year 15) was 0.69 (0.65-0.73) and change in C-statistic with the inclusion of SBP change and cumulative SBP was 0.60 (0.56-0.65) and 0.72 (0.69-0.76), respectively. For CVD, using year-15 SBP as a reference, the net reclassification index (NRI) for cumulative SBP was 0.40 (p < 0.0001) and the NRI for SBP change was 0.22 (p = 0.001).

conclusionsCumulative BP in young adults was associated with the subsequent risk of HF, CHD, stroke, and CVD. Cumulative BP provided incremental prognostic value and improved risk reclassification for CVD, when compared to single BP assessments or changes in BP.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCoronary DiseaseHeart FailureHypertensionStrokeBlood PressureHumansIncidenceMaleRisk FactorsYoung Adultcardiovascular diseasecoronary heart diseaseheart failureHypertensionstroke

Identifiers

PMID34695218
PMCPMC8653578
OpenAlexW3016201840

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.