Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34693292›Full record

ArticleCritical care explorations2021

Simplified Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 Score by Explainable Machine Learning Algorithm.

Orkun Baloglu, Matthew Nagy, Chidiebere Ezetendu, Samir Q Latifi, Aziz Nazha

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care explorations, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Development and Validation of a Neurological Outcome Prediction Score for Children Requiring Mechanical Ventilation: The NOPS-VC Score.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Orkun BalogluPediatric Critical Care Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Children's, Cleveland, OH.
Matthew NagyLerner College of Medicine of Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH.
Chidiebere EzetenduPediatric Critical Care Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Children's, Cleveland, OH.
Samir Q LatifiPediatric Critical Care Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Children's, Cleveland, OH.
Aziz NazhaHematology and Medical Oncology, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH.
Cleveland Clinic · USCleveland Clinic Lerner College of Medicine · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 is a validated tool including 11 variables for the assessment of mortality risk in PICU patients. With the recent advances in explainable machine learning algorithms, we aimed to assess feasibility of application of these machine learning models to simplify the Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 scoring system in order to decrease time and labor required for data collection and entry for Pediatric Index of Mortality 3.

designSingle-center, retrospective cohort study. Data from the Virtual Pediatric Systems for patients admitted to Cleveland Clinic Children`s PICU between January 2008 and December 2019 was obtained. Light Gradient Boosting Machine Regressor (a gradient boosting decision tree algorithm) was used for building the machine learning models. Variable importance was analyzed by SHapley Additive exPlanations. All of the 11 Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 variables were used as input variables in the machine learning models to predict Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 risk of mortality as the outcome variable. Mean absolute error, root mean squared error, and R-squared were calculated for each of the 11 machine learning models as model performance parameters.

settingQuaternary children's hospital. PATIENTS: PICU patients.

interventionsNone. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsFive-thousand sixty-eight patients were analyzed. The machine learning models were able to maintain similar predictive error until the number of input variables decreased to four. The machine learning model with five input variables (mechanical ventilation in the first hour of PICU admission, very-high-risk diagnosis, surgical recovery from a noncardiac procedure, low-risk diagnosis, and base excess) produced lowest mean root mean squared error of 1.49 (95% CI, 1.05-1.93) and highest R-squared of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.6-0.86) with mean absolute error of 0.43 (95% CI, 0.35-0.5) among all the 11 machine learning models.

conclusionsExplainable machine learning methods were feasible in simplifying the Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 scoring system with similar risk of mortality predictions compared to the original Pediatric Index of Mortality 3 model tested in a single-center dataset.

Indexed as

critical caredata sciencemachine learningmortalityPediatric Index of Mortalitypediatrics

Identifiers

PMID34693292
PMCPMC8528230
OpenAlexW3206761101

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.