ArticleHealth economics2022
How effective has the Spanish lockdown been to battle COVID-19? A spatial analysis of the coronavirus propagation across provinces.
Article in Health economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- What Makes Urban Communities More Resilient to COVID-19? A Systematic Review of Current Evidence.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Pooled it
- Effect of urban structure, population density and proximity to contagion on COVID-19 infections during the SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Omicron waves in Málaga, Spain, March 2020 to December 2021.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025Article
- Estimation of the Real Incidence of a Contagious Disease Through a Bayesian Multilevel Model: Study of COVID-19 in Spanish Provinces.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- The Geographical Conditioning of Regional Differentiation Characterising the COVID-19 Pandemic in European Countries.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- Short, stringent lockdowns halted SARS-CoV-2 transmissions in Danish municipalities.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- A pandemic momentum index to manage the spread of COVID-19.Technological forecasting and social change · 2023Article
- Do more stringent policies reduce daily COVID-19 case counts? Evidence from Canadian provinces.Economic analysis and policy · 2023Article
- Determinants of people's motivations to approach COVID-19 vaccination centers.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Estimating the propagation of both reported and undocumented COVID-19 cases in Spain: a panel data frontier approximation of epidemiological models.Journal of productivity analysis · 2023Article
- Investigating the two-way relationship between mobility flows and COVID-19 cases.Economic modelling · 2023Article
- Research Progress and Improvement Ideas of Anti-Epidemic Resilience in China's Urban Communities.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Review
- Effects of Vaccination and the Spatio-Temporal Diffusion of Covid-19 Incidence in Turkey.Geographical analysis · 2022Article
- Capturing spatial dependence of COVID-19 case counts with cellphone mobility data.Spatial statistics · 2022Article
- Impact of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus on the Incidence and Outcomes of COVID-19 Needing Hospital Admission According to Sex: Retrospective Cohort Study Using Hospital Discharge Data in Spain, Year 2020.Journal of clinical medicine · 2022Article
- Geospatial Analysis of a COVID-19 Outbreak at the University of Wisconsin - Madison: Potential Role of a Cluster of Local Bars.Epidemiology and infection · 2022Article
- Spatial contagion during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic: Some lessons from the case of Madrid, Spain.Regional science policy & practice · 2022Article
- Estimating the effects of lockdown timing on COVID-19 cases and deaths in England: A counterfactual modelling study.PloS one · 2022Article
- How effective has the Spanish lockdown been to battle COVID-19? A spatial analysis of the coronavirus propagation across provinces.Health economics · 2022Article
- The efficiency of COVID cases to COVID policies: a robust conditional approach.Empirical economics · 2022Article
- GIS-based classroom management system to support COVID-19 social distance planning.Computational urban science · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
This paper examines the propagation of COVID-19 across the Spanish provinces and assesses the effectiveness of the Spanish lockdown of the population implemented on March 14, 2020 in order to battle this pandemic. To achieve these objectives, a standard spatial econometric model used in economics is adapted to resemble the popular reproduction models employed in the epidemiological literature. In addition, we introduce a counterfactual exercise that allows us to examine the Gross domestic product (GDP) gains of bringing forward the date of the Spanish Lockdown. We find that the number of COVID-19 cases would have been reduced by 70.4% in the absence of spatial propagation between the Spanish provinces. We also determine that the lockdown prevented the propagation of the virus within and between provinces. As such, the Spanish lockdown reduced the number of potential COVID-19 cases by 82.8%. However, the number of coronavirus cases would have been reduced by an additional 11.6% if the lockdown had been brought forward to March 7, 2020. Finally, an earlier lockdown would have saved approximately 26,900,000,000 euros.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.