Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34682523›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021

Quest for Optimal Regression Models in SARS-CoV-2 Wastewater Based Epidemiology.

Parisa Aberi, Rezgar Arabzadeh, Heribert Insam, Rudolf Markt, Markus Mayr, Norbert Kreuzinger, Wolfgang Rauch

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Parisa AberiDepartment of Infrastructure, University Innsbruck, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria.
Rezgar ArabzadehDepartment of Infrastructure, University Innsbruck, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria.
Heribert InsamDepartment of Microbiology, University Innsbruck, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-5136-2752
Rudolf MarktDepartment of Microbiology, University Innsbruck, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-0195-1249
Markus MayrDepartment of Microbiology, University Innsbruck, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria.
Norbert KreuzingerInstitute for Water Quality and Resource Management, Technology University Vienna, 1040 Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-6400-8218
Wolfgang RauchDepartment of Infrastructure, University Innsbruck, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-6462-2832
Universität Innsbruck · ATTU Wien · AT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Wastewater-based epidemiology is a recognised source of information for pandemic management. In this study, we investigated the correlation between a SARS-CoV-2 signal derived from wastewater sampling and COVID-19 incidence values monitored by means of individual testing programs. The dataset used in the study is composed of timelines (duration approx. five months) of both signals at four wastewater treatment plants across Austria, two of which drain large communities and the other two drain smaller communities. Eight regression models were investigated to predict the viral incidence under varying data inputs and pre-processing methods. It was found that population-based normalisation and smoothing as a pre-processing of the viral load data significantly influence the fitness of the regression models. Moreover, the time latency lag between the wastewater data and the incidence derived from the testing program was found to vary between 2 and 7 days depending on the time period and site. It was found to be necessary to take such a time lag into account by means of multivariate modelling to boost the performance of the regression. Comparing the models, no outstanding one could be identified as all investigated models are revealing a sufficient correlation for the task. The pre-processing of data and a multivariate model formulation is more important than the model structure.

Indexed as

COVID-19Wastewater-Based Epidemiological MonitoringHumansPandemicsRNA, ViralSARS-CoV-2WastewaterRNA, ViralWastewaterincidencemultivariate modelregressionSARS-CoV-2Taylor diagramwastewater-based epidemiology

Identifiers

PMID34682523
PMCPMC8535556
OpenAlexW3205011905

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.