Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34673828›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

Epidemiology of measles cases, vaccine effectiveness, and performance towards measles elimination in The Gambia.

Alieu Sowe, Mbye Njie, Dawda Sowe, Sidat Fofana, Lamin Ceesay, Yaya Camara, Brook Tesfaye, Samba Bah, Alieu K Bah, Abdoulie K Baldeh and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Alieu SoweWHO Country Office, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0003-3786-3021
Mbye NjieExpanded Program on Immunisation, Ministry of Health, Banjul, The Gambia.
Dawda SoweExpanded Program on Immunisation, Ministry of Health, Banjul, The Gambia.
Sidat FofanaExpanded Program on Immunisation, Ministry of Health, Banjul, The Gambia.
Lamin CeesayExpanded Program on Immunisation, Ministry of Health, Banjul, The Gambia.
Yaya CamaraWHO Country Office, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-8912-0716
Brook TesfayeWHO Country Office, Nairobi, Kenya.
Samba BahExpanded Program on Immunisation, Ministry of Health, Banjul, The Gambia.
Alieu K BahWorld Bank Country Office, Cape Point, Bakau, The Gambia.
Abdoulie K BaldehSchool of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Bakary D DamphaDepartment of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Samba N BaldehExpanded Program on Immunisation, Ministry of Health, Banjul, The Gambia.
Alagie TourayWHO Country Office, Juba, South Sudan.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionIn 2011, member states of the World Health Organization (WHO) Africa Regional Office (AFRO) resolved to eliminate Measles by 2020. Our study aims to assess The Gambia's progress towards the set AFRO measles elimination target and highlight surveillance and immunisation gaps to better inform future measles prevention strategies. MATERIAL AND

methodsA retrospective review of measles surveillance data for the period 2011-2019, was extracted from The Gambia case-based measles surveillance database. WHO-UNICEF national coverage estimates were used for estimating national level MCV coverage. Measles post campaign coverage survey coverage estimates were used to estimate national measles campaign coverage.

resultsOne hundred and twenty-five of the 863 reported suspected cases were laboratory confirmed as measles cases. More than half (53.6%) of the confirmed cases have unknown vaccination status, 24% of cases were vaccinated, 52.8% of cases occurred among males, and 72.8% cases were among urban residents. The incidence of measles cases per million population was lowest (0) in 2011-2012 and highest in 2015 and 2016 (31 and 23 respectively). The indicator for surveillance sensitivity was met in all years except in 2016 and 2019. Children aged 5-9 years (Incidence Rate Ratio-IRR = 0.6) and residents of Central River region (IRR = 0.21) had lower measles risk whilst unvaccinated (Adjusted IRR = 5.95) and those with unknown vaccination status (IRR 2.21) had higher measles risk. Vaccine effectiveness was 89.5%.

conclusionThe Gambia's quest to attain measles elimination status by 2020 has registered significant success but it is unlikely that all target indicators will be met. Vaccination has been very effective in preventing cases. There is variation in measles risk by health region, and it will be important to take it into account when designing prevention and control strategies. The quality of case investigations should be improved to enhance the quality of surveillance for decision making.

Indexed as

Immunization ProgramsVaccination CoverageAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolDisease EradicationFemaleGambiaHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMeaslesMeasles VaccineMeasles Vaccine

Identifiers

PMID34673828
PMCPMC8530347

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.