ArticleHealth economics2022
Re-exploring the early relationship between teenage cigarette and e-cigarette use using price and tax changes.
Article in Health economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- The impact of e-cigarette taxation: a systematic review and meta-analysis on usage, pricing strategies, and public health implications.BMC medicine · 2026Pooled it
- Electronic cigarettes and subsequent cigarette smoking in young people: A systematic review.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2025Pooled it
- A systematic review and network meta-analysis of population-level interventions to tackle smoking behaviour.Nature human behaviour · 2024Pooled it
- How do US Adults Who Vape Choose Among Different E-Cigarette (EC) Models and Cigarettes in Response to Prices and Taxes.Health economics · 2026Article
- E-CIGARETTE FLAVOR RESTRICTIONS' EFFECTS ON TOBACCO PRODUCT SALES.American journal of health economics · 2026Article
- Unreliable evidence from problematic risk of bias assessments: Comment on Begh et al., 'Electronic cigarettes and subsequent cigarette smoking in young people: A systematic review'.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2025Article
- Smoke economics: lessons from tobacco ban for e-cigarette regulation in Bhutan.The Lancet regional health. Southeast Asia · 2025Article
- Smokeless tobacco excise taxes in the US: Standardizing the measurement for empirical analysis.Preventive medicine reports · 2025Article
- Effect of e-cigarette taxes on e-cigarette and cigarette retail prices and sales, USA, 2014-2019.Tobacco control · 2025Article
- Scoping of Policy Impacts for Regulating E-cigarettes (SPIRE): findings from a data and decision analytic model mapping project.NIHR open research · 2025Article
- Article
- Flavored E-Cigarette Sales Restrictions and Young Adult Tobacco Use.JAMA health forum · 2024Article
- Do e-cigarette retail licensure laws reduce youth tobacco use?Journal of health economics · 2024Article
- The effect of vertical identification card laws on teenage tobacco and alcohol use.Health economics · 2024Article
- Estimating the effects of tobacco-21 on youth tobacco use and sales.Journal of health economics · 2024Article
- Standardising the measurement of e-cigarette taxes in the USA, 2010-2020.Tobacco control · 2023Article
- Effects of E-Cigarette Minimum Legal Sales Ages on Youth Tobacco Use in the United States.Journal of risk and uncertainty · 2023Article
- The effect of e-cigarette taxes on prepregnancy and prenatal smoking.Journal of policy analysis and management : [the journal of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management] · 2023Article
- Intended and unintended effects of e-cigarette taxes on youth tobacco use.Journal of health economics · 2023Article
- The effects of e-cigarette taxes on e-cigarette prices and tobacco product sales: Evidence from retail panel data.Journal of health economics · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
In 2016, the Surgeon General used longitudinal cohort studies to conclude that youth e-cigarette use is strongly associated with cigarette use. We re-evaluate data from the period of time before the writing of the Surgeon General report, using quasi-experimental methods, and reach the opposite conclusion. We study contemporaneous and intertemporal effects of e-cigarette and cigarette price and tax changes. Our price variation comes from 35,000 retailers participating in the Nielsen Retail Scanner data system. We match price and tax variation to survey data on current use of e-cigarettes and cigarettes for over 94,000 students between grades 6 and 12 in the National Youth Tobacco Survey (NYTS) for years 2011-2015. We find evidence that e-cigarettes and cigarettes are same-period economic substitutes. Coefficient estimates (while imprecisely estimated) also suggest potentially large positive effects of past e-cigarette prices on current cigarette use, indicating intertemporal economic substitution. Our findings raise doubts about the conclusion of government-sponsored reports that e-cigarettes and cigarettes are strongly positively associated. We recommend revisiting and possibly amending this conclusion.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.