Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34669732›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

An operationally implementable model for predicting the effects of an infectious disease on a comprehensive regional healthcare system.

Daniel Chertok, Chad Konchak, Nirav Shah, Kamaljit Singh, Loretta Au, Jared Hammernik, Brian Murray, Anthony Solomonides, Ernest Wang, Lakshmi Halasyamani

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Daniel ChertokNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-6409-7919
Chad KonchakNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.
Nirav ShahNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.
Kamaljit SinghNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.
Loretta AuNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7361-8288
Jared HammernikNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.
Brian MurrayNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.
Anthony SolomonidesNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-2117-2461
Ernest WangNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.
Lakshmi HalasyamaniNorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An operationally implementable predictive model has been developed to forecast the number of COVID-19 infections in the patient population, hospital floor and ICU censuses, ventilator and related supply chain demand. The model is intended for clinical, operational, financial and supply chain leaders and executives of a comprehensive healthcare system responsible for making decisions that depend on epidemiological contingencies. This paper describes the model that was implemented at NorthShore University HealthSystem and is applicable to any communicable disease whose risk of reinfection for the duration of the pandemic is negligible.

Indexed as

Comprehensive Health CareModels, TheoreticalPandemicsSARS-CoV-2COVID-19ForecastingHumans

Identifiers

PMID34669732
PMCPMC8528335

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.