Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34667185›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Altered growth conditions more than reforestation counteracted forest biomass carbon emissions 1990-2020.

Julia Le Noë, Karl-Heinz Erb, Sarah Matej, Andreas Magerl, Manan Bhan, Simone Gingrich

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Julia Le NoëInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), Department of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Wien, Austria. julia.lenoe@boku.ac.at.ORCID 0000-0001-8816-5800
Karl-Heinz ErbInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), Department of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Wien, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-8335-4159
Sarah MatejInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), Department of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Wien, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-4576-4189
Andreas MagerlInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), Department of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Wien, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-5861-2195
Manan BhanInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), Department of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Wien, Austria.
Simone GingrichInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), Department of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Wien, Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-7891-8688

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the carbon (C) balance in global forest is key for climate-change mitigation. However, land use and environmental drivers affecting global forest C fluxes remain poorly quantified. Here we show, following a counterfactual modelling approach based on global Forest Resource Assessments, that in 1990-2020 deforestation is the main driver of forest C emissions, partly counteracted by increased forest growth rates under altered conditions: In the hypothetical absence of changes in forest (i) area, (ii) harvest or (iii) burnt area, global forest biomass would reverse from an actual cumulative net C source of c. 0.74 GtC to a net C sink of 26.9, 4.9 and 0.63 GtC, respectively. In contrast, (iv) without growth rate changes, cumulative emissions would be 7.4 GtC, i.e., 10 times higher. Because this sink function may be discontinued in the future due to climate-change, ending deforestation and lowering wood harvest emerge here as key climate-change mitigation strategies.

Indexed as

BiomassCarbonCarbon CycleCarbon SequestrationClimate ChangeEcosystemForestryTreesCarbon

Identifiers

PMID34667185
PMCPMC8526671

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.