Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34663819›Full record

SynthesisNature communications2021

Incorporating functional priors improves polygenic prediction accuracy in UK Biobank and 23andMe data sets.

Carla Márquez-Luna, Steven Gazal, Po-Ru Loh, Samuel S Kim, Nicholas Furlotte, Adam Auton, 23andMe Research Team, Alkes L Price

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 116 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
116citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

116 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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56 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Carla Márquez-LunaDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA. cmarquezluna@alumni.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7083-5922
Steven GazalProgram in Medical and Population Genetics, Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4510-5730
Po-Ru LohProgram in Medical and Population Genetics, Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5542-9064
Samuel S KimProgram in Medical and Population Genetics, Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0491-0784
Nicholas Furlotte23andMe Inc., Mountain View, CA, USA.
Adam Auton23andMe Inc., Mountain View, CA, USA.
23andMe Research Team
Alkes L PriceDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA. aprice@hsph.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2971-7975

Funding

Statistical methods for studies of rare variantsR01MH101244 · NIMH · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI Benjamin Michael Neale, ALKES L PRICE · 2013 to 2026
$9.4M
Methods for Genome-wide Association Studies in Admixed PopulationsR01HG006399 · NHGRI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI PRICE, ALKES L · 2011 to 2024
$6.3M
Functionally specialized components of disease heritability in ENCODE dataU01HG009379 · NHGRI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI PRICE, ALKES L, RAYCHAUDHURI, SOUMYA · 2017 to 2021
$2.5M
Improving Polygenic Prediction using Next-Generation Data SetsR01GM105857 · NIGMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SUNYAEV, SHAMIL · 2014 to 2017
$2.0M
Leveraging biological pathways, gene networks, and functional annotations to understand the genetic architecture of diseases and complex traitsF31HG010818 · NHGRI · MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI KIM, SAMUEL SUNGIL · 2020 to 2021
$69k
Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853NHGRI NIH HHS F31 HG010818NHGRI NIH HHS R01 HG006399NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG009379NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM105857NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH101244
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Polygenic risk prediction is a widely investigated topic because of its promising clinical applications. Genetic variants in functional regions of the genome are enriched for complex trait heritability. Here, we introduce a method for polygenic prediction, LDpred-funct, that leverages trait-specific functional priors to increase prediction accuracy. We fit priors using the recently developed baseline-LD model, including coding, conserved, regulatory, and LD-related annotations. We analytically estimate posterior mean causal effect sizes and then use cross-validation to regularize these estimates, improving prediction accuracy for sparse architectures. We applied LDpred-funct to predict 21 highly heritable traits in the UK Biobank (avg N = 373 K as training data). LDpred-funct attained a +4.6% relative improvement in average prediction accuracy (avg prediction R

Indexed as

Biological Specimen BanksMultifactorial InheritanceGenomeGenotypeHumansModels, GeneticPhenotypePolymorphism, Single NucleotideUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID34663819
PMCPMC8523709

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.