Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34661814›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of epidemiology2021

The limits of small-for-gestational-age as a high-risk category.

Allen J Wilcox, Marianna Cortese, D Robert McConnaughey, Dag Moster, Olga Basso

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
21.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 79 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Deprived areas and adverse perinatal outcome: a systematic review.Archives of gynecology and obstetrics · 2024
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Impact of SGA, AGA, and LGA birthweight subclassification on NICU mortality risk identification: a cohort study.Journal of perinatology : official journal of the California Perinatal Association · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Correlation between umbilical cord concentration of the growth hormone-IGF axis and small for gestational age: A single-center retrospective, observational study.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2026
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Allen J WilcoxNational Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, NIH, PO Box 12233, NC, Durham, USA. wilcox@niehs.nih.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3376-1311
Marianna CorteseDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, MA, Boston, USA.
D Robert McConnaugheyWestat, NC, Durham, USA.
Dag MosterDepartment of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.
Olga BassoDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, McGill University, QC, Montreal, Canada.
Boston University · USHaukeland University Hospital · NOMcGill University Health Centre · CANational Institute of Occupational Health · NOWestat (United States) · US

Funding

Epidemiology Of Reproductive Outcomes /Environ ExposuresZ01ES044003 · NIEHS · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH SCIENCES · PI WILCOX, ALLEN J · 1985 to 2008
$786k
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 ES044003NIEHS NIH HHS not applicable
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

SGA (small for gestational age) is widely used to identify high-risk infants, although with inconsistent definitions. Cut points range from 2.5th to 10th percentile of birthweight-for-gestational age. We used receiver operator characteristic curves (ROC) to identify the cut point with maximum sensitivity and specificity (Youden Index), and the area under the curve (AUC), which assesses overall discriminating power. Analysis was conducted on 3,836,034 US births (2015) and 292,279 Norwegian births (2010-14). Birthweight percentiles were calculated using exact birthweights at each week of gestational age, and then summarized across gestational ages. We also conducted a companion analysis of gestational age itself to consider the predictive power of gestational week of birth. Outcomes were neonatal mortality and cerebral palsy, both strongly associated with birthweight. Birthweight percentiles performed poorly in all analyses. The AUC for birthweight percentiles as a discriminator of neonatal mortality was 60% (where 50% is no better than a coin-toss). At such low discrimination, the Youden Index provides no useful SGA cut point. Results in Norway were virtually identical, with an AUC of 58%. The AUC with cerebral palsy as the outcome was even lower, at 54%. In contrast, gestational age had an AUC of 85% as a predictor of neonatal mortality, with < 37 weeks as the optimum cut point. SGA provides surprisingly poor identification of at-risk infants, while gestational age performs well. Similar results in two countries that differ in mean birthweight, percent preterm, and neonatal mortality suggest robustness across populations.

Indexed as

Infant MortalityInfant, Small for Gestational AgePremature BirthBirth WeightGestational AgeHumansInfantReference ValuesROC CurveBirthweightGestational ageNeonatal mortalityPretermReceiver operator curveSGA

Identifiers

PMID34661814
PMCPMC12380009
OpenAlexW3207743458

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.