Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34656227›Full record

Trial reportThe Lancet. Oncology2021

Nivolumab versus placebo in patients with relapsed malignant mesothelioma (CONFIRM): a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, phase 3 trial.

Dean A Fennell, Sean Ewings, Christian Ottensmeier, Raffaele Califano, Gerard G Hanna, Kayleigh Hill, Sarah Danson, Nicola Steele, Mavis Nye, Lucy Johnson and 12 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Lancet. Oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT03063450 (CheckpOiNt Blockade For Inhibition of Relapsed Mesothelioma), which is not on this map. Cited by 162 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
162citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
27.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03063450 phase3completednot on this map

CheckpOiNt Blockade For Inhibition of Relapsed Mesothelioma (CONFIRM): A Phase III Double-Blind, Placebo Controlled Trial to Evaluate the Efficacy of Nivolumab in Relapsed Mesothelioma

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of SouthamptonRan2017 to 2023Enrolled332ConditionsMesotheliomaArmsNivolumab, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

162 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 253 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Ad-SGE-DKK3 Gene Therapy Overcomes Resistance to Immune Checkpoint Blockade in Pleural Mesothelioma.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2025
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102 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 10 institutions in 2 countries.

Dean A FennellMesothelioma Research Programme, Leicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK. Electronic address: df132@le.ac.uk.
Sean EwingsCancer Research UK, Southampton Clinical Trials Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Christian OttensmeierDepartment of Molecular & Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Raffaele CalifanoDepartment of Medical Oncology, Wythenshaw Hospital, Manchester, UK.
Gerard G HannaPeter MacCullum Cancer Centre, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Kayleigh HillCancer Research UK, Southampton Clinical Trials Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Sarah DansonDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Nicola SteeleDepartment of Oncology and Metabolism University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Mavis NyeMavis Nye Foundation, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Lucy JohnsonCancer Research UK, Southampton Clinical Trials Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Joanne LordSouthampton Health Technology Assessments Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Calley MiddletonCancer Research UK, Southampton Clinical Trials Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Peter SzlosarekCancer Research UK Barts Cancer Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Sam ChanYork Teaching Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, York, UK.
Aarti GabaMesothelioma Research Programme, Leicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Liz DarlisonUniversity Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK; Department of Oncology, Mesothelioma UK, Leicester, UK.
Peter Wells-JordanUniversity Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK.
Cathy RichardsUniversity Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK.
Charlotte PoileMesothelioma Research Programme, Leicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Jason F LesterThe Rutherford Cancer Centre, Newport, UK.
Gareth GriffithsCancer Research UK, Southampton Clinical Trials Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
CONFIRM trial investigators
University of Southampton · GBCancer Research UK · GBUniversity Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust · GBUniversity of Leicester · GBUniversity of Glasgow · GBUniversity of Liverpool · GBUniversity of Melbourne · AUUniversity of Sheffield · GBWythenshawe Hospital · GBYork Teaching Hospital NHS Foundation Trust · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UK 21400Cancer Research UK 25352Medical Research Council MC_PC_19043
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNo phase 3 trial has yet shown improved survival for patients with pleural or peritoneal malignant mesothelioma who have progressed following platinum-based chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy and safety of nivolumab, an anti-PD-1 antibody, in these patients.

methodsThis was a multicentre, placebo-controlled, double-blind, parallel group, randomised, phase 3 trial done in 24 hospitals in the UK. Adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 or 1, with histologically confirmed pleural or peritoneal mesothelioma, who had received previous first-line platinum-based chemotherapy and had radiological evidence of disease progression, were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive nivolumab at a flat dose of 240 mg every 2 weeks over 30 min intravenously or placebo until disease progression or a maximum of 12 months. The randomisation sequence was generated within an interactive web response system (Alea); patients were stratified according to epithelioid versus non-epithelioid histology and were assigned in random block sizes of 3 and 6. Participants and treating clinicians were masked to group allocation. The co-primary endpoints were investigator-assessed progression-free survival and overall survival, analysed according to the treatment policy estimand (an equivalent of the intention-to-treat principle). All patients who were randomly assigned were included in the safety population, reported according to group allocation. This trial is registered with Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT03063450.

findingsBetween May 10, 2017, and March 30, 2020, 332 patients were recruited, of whom 221 (67%) were randomly assigned to the nivolumab group and 111 (33%) were assigned to the placebo group). Median follow-up was 11·6 months (IQR 7·2-16·8). Median progression-free survival was 3·0 months (95% CI 2·8-4·1) in the nivolumab group versus 1·8 months (1·4-2·6) in the placebo group (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0·67 [95% CI 0·53-0·85; p=0·0012). Median overall survival was 10·2 months (95% CI 8·5-12·1) in the nivolumab group versus 6·9 months (5·0-8·0) in the placebo group (adjusted HR 0·69 [95% CI 0·52-0·91]; p=0·0090). The most frequently reported grade 3 or worse treatment-related adverse events were diarrhoea (six [3%] of 221 in the nivolumab group vs two [2%] of 111 in the placebo group) and infusion-related reaction (six [3%] vs none). Serious adverse events occurred in 90 (41%) patients in the nivolumab group and 49 (44%) patients in the placebo group. There were no treatment-related deaths in either group.

interpretationNivolumab represents a treatment that might be beneficial to patients with malignant mesothelioma who have progressed on first-line therapy.

fundingStand up to Cancer-Cancer Research UK and Bristol Myers Squibb.

Indexed as

AgedAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalB7-H1 AntigenDouble-Blind MethodFemaleHumansImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsMaleMesothelioma, MalignantNivolumabPeritoneal NeoplasmsPleural NeoplasmsProgression-Free SurvivalRecurrenceSurvival RateAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalB7-H1 AntigenCD274 protein, humanImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsNivolumab

Identifiers

PMID34656227
PMCPMC8560642
OpenAlexW3207665479

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.