Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34652417›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2022

How blood pressure predicts frailty transitions in older adults in a population-based cohort study: a multi-state transition model.

Daniela Anker, Cristian Carmeli, Marcel Zwahlen, Nicolas Rodondi, Valérie Santschi, Yves Henchoz, Christina Wolfson, Arnaud Chiolero

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Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Blood pressure satisfaction and antihypertensive medication adherence effects frailty transitions in older hypertensive patients.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Daniela AnkerPopulation Health Laboratory (#PopHealthLab), University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0607-0283
Cristian CarmeliPopulation Health Laboratory (#PopHealthLab), University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland.
Marcel ZwahlenInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Nicolas RodondiInstitute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Valérie SantschiLa Source, School of Nursing Sciences, HES-SO University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland, Delémont, Switzerland.
Yves HenchozCenter for Primary Care and Public Health (Unisanté), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-8251-8393
Christina WolfsonDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Occupational Health, School of Population and Global Health, McGill University, Montréal, Québec, Canada.
Arnaud ChioleroPopulation Health Laboratory (#PopHealthLab), University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLow blood pressure (BP) is associated with frailty in older adults. Our aim was to explore how BP predicts transitions between frailty states.

methodsWe used data from the Lausanne cohort Lc65+, a population-based cohort of older adults randomly drawn from a population registry in Switzerland, in 2004, 2009 and 2014. BP was measured using a clinically validated oscillometric automated device and frailty was defined using Fried's phenotype, every 3 years. We used an illness-death discrete multi-state Markov model to estimate hazard ratios of forward and backward transitions between frailty states (outcome) in relation to BP categories (predictor of interest) with adjustment for sex, age and antihypertensive medication (other predictors).

resultsAmong 4200 participants aged 65-70 years (58% female) at baseline, 70% were non-frail, 27% pre-frail and 2.0% frail. Over an average follow-up of 5.8 years, 2422 transitions were observed, with 1575 (65%) forward and 847 (35%) backward. Compared with systolic BP (SBP) <130 mmHg, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of the transition from non-frail to pre-frail was 0.86 (0.74 to 1.00) for SBP 130-150 mmHg, and 0.89 (0.74 to 1.06) for SBP ≥150 mmHg. Compared with SBP <130 mmHg, the hazard ratio of the transition from pre-frail to frail was 0.71 (0.50 to 1.01) for SBP 130-150 mmHg, and 0.90 (0.62 to 1.32) for SBP ≥150 mmHg. Diastolic BP was a weaker predictor of forward transitions.

conclusionsBP categories had no strong relationship with either forward transitions or backward transitions in frailty states. If our findings are confirmed with greater precision and assuming a causal relationship, they would suggest that there is no well-defined optimal BP level to prevent frailty among older adults.

Indexed as

FrailtyAgedAntihypertensive AgentsBlood PressureCohort StudiesFemaleFrail ElderlyGeriatric AssessmentHumansMaleAntihypertensive AgentsageingBlood pressurecohort studiesepidemiologyfrailty

Identifiers

PMID34652417
PMCPMC9365628

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.