Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34649988›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Timing outweighs magnitude of rainfall in shaping population dynamics of a small mammal species in steppe grassland.

Guoliang Li, Xinrong Wan, Baofa Yin, Wanhong Wei, Xianglei Hou, Xin Zhang, Erdenetuya Batsuren, Jidong Zhao, Shuli Huang, Xiaoming Xu and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Guoliang LiState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0599-5356
Xinrong WanState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Baofa YinColleges of Bioscience and Biotechnology, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China.
Wanhong WeiColleges of Bioscience and Biotechnology, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China.
Xianglei HouState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Xin ZhangState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Erdenetuya BatsurenState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Jidong ZhaoState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Shuli HuangState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Xiaoming XuState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Jing LiuState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Yiran SongState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Arpat OzgulDepartment of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich 8057 Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7477-2642
Christopher R DickmanSchool of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW 2006, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-1067-3730
Guiming WangDepartment of Wildlife, Fisheries and Aquaculture, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS 39762.ORCID 0000-0001-5002-0120
Charles J KrebsDepartment of Zoology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada.
Zhibin ZhangState Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; zhangzb@ioz.ac.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-1580-9692

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change-induced shifts in species phenology differ widely across trophic levels, which may lead to consumer-resource mismatches with cascading population and ecosystem consequences. Here, we examined the effects of different rainfall patterns (i.e., timing and amount) on the phenological asynchrony of population of a generalist herbivore and their food sources in semiarid steppe grassland in Inner Mongolia. We conducted a 10-y (2010 to 2019) rainfall manipulation experiment in 12 0.48-ha field enclosures and found that moderate rainfall increases during the early rather than late growing season advanced the timing of peak reproduction and drove marked increases in population size through increasing the biomass of preferred plant species. By contrast, greatly increased rainfall produced no further increases in vole population growth due to the potential negative effect of the flooding of burrows. The increases in vole population size were more coupled with increased reproduction of overwintered voles and increased body mass of young-of-year than with better survival. Our results provide experimental evidence for the fitness consequences of phenological mismatches at the population level and highlight the importance of rainfall timing on the population dynamics of small herbivores in the steppe grassland environment.

Indexed as

GrasslandRainAnimalsArvicolinaeBiomassChinaClimate ChangeFeeding BehaviorPopulation DynamicsProbabilityReproductionSurvival Analysisclimate variabilityconsumer–resource dynamicsphenology mismatchrainfall patternsteppe grassland

Identifiers

PMID34649988
PMCPMC8545474

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.