Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34643417›Full record

ArticlemSphere2021

Early Prediction of Severe COVID-19 in Patients by a Novel Immune-Related Predictive Model.

Caiyu Sun, Mingshan Xue, Min Yang, Lihui Zhu, Yunxue Zhao, Xiaoting Lv, Yueke Lin, Dapeng Ma, Xuecheng Shen, Yeping Cheng and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in mSphere, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 34% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Caiyu SunShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3001-5364
Mingshan XueState Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Health, First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Min YangShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Lihui ZhuDepartment of Gastroenterology, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Yunxue ZhaoDepartment of Pharmacology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Xiaoting LvShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Yueke LinShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Dapeng MaShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Xuecheng ShenShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Yeping ChengShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Haocheng XuanShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Xiaoqing JiaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Tao LiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3186-3904
Lihui HanShandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunology, Shandong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Immune Diseases and Gout, Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1030-2232
Shandong University · CNShandong Provincial Hospital · CNFirst Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University · CNQilu Hospital of Shandong University · CN

Funding

Major Innovation Project of Shandong Province 2018CXGC1217National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSF) 81972275Science and Technology Development Project of Shandong Province 2018GSF118072
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

During the progression of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), immune response and inflammation reactions are dynamic events that develop rapidly and are associated with the severity of disease. Here, we aimed to develop a predictive model based on the immune and inflammatory response to discriminate patients with severe COVID-19. COVID-19 patients were enrolled, and their demographic and immune inflammatory reaction indicators were collected and analyzed. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the independent predictors, which were further used to construct a predictive model. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve, and optimal diagnostic threshold was calculated; these were further validated by 5-fold cross-validation and external validation. We screened three key indicators, including neutrophils, eosinophils, and IgA, for predicting severe COVID-19 and obtained a combined neutrophil, eosinophil, and IgA ratio (NEAR) model (NEU [10

Indexed as

Clinical Decision RulesSeverity of Illness IndexAdultAgedBiomarkersClinical Decision-MakingCOVID-19COVID-19 TestingDisease ProgressionEosinophilsFemaleHumansImmunoglobulin AInflammationLogistic ModelsMaleBiomarkersImmunoglobulin ACOVID-19eosinophilsIgAneutrophilspredictive modelSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34643417
PMCPMC8513681
OpenAlexW3205877825

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.