Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34642319›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

ENSO impacts child undernutrition in the global tropics.

Jesse K Anttila-Hughes, Amir S Jina, Gordon C McCord

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Eliminating hunger in a world serious about climate mitigation.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  7. Future climate response to observed strong El Niño analogues.NPJ climate and atmospheric science · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Annals of Education: Teaching Climate Change and Global Public Health.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. The Effect of Prenatal Exposure to Climate Anomaly on Adulthood Cognitive Function and Job Reputation.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jesse K Anttila-HughesDepartment of Economics, University of San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Amir S JinaHarris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA. amirjina@uchicago.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-3446-7883
Gordon C McCordSchool of Global Policy and Strategy, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5042-9225
National Bureau of Economic Research · USUniversity of California San Diego · USUniversity of San Francisco · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a principal component of global climate variability known to influence a host of social and economic outcomes, but its systematic effects on human health remain poorly understood. We estimate ENSO's association with child nutrition at global scale by combining variation in ENSO intensity from 1986-2018 with children's height and weight from 186 surveys conducted in 51 teleconnected countries, containing 48% of the world's under-5 population. Warmer El Niño conditions predict worse child undernutrition in most of the developing world, but better outcomes in the small number of areas where precipitation is positively affected by warmer ENSO. ENSO's contemporaneous effects on child weight loss are detectable years later as decreases in height. This relationship looks similar at both global and regional scale, and has not appreciably weakened over the last four decades. Results imply that almost 6 million additional children were underweight during the 2015 El Niño compared to a counterfactual of neutral ENSO conditions in 2015. This demonstrates a pathway through which human well-being remains subject to predictable climatic processes.

Indexed as

El Nino-Southern OscillationChildHumansMalnutritionTemperature

Identifiers

PMID34642319
PMCPMC8511020
OpenAlexW3206347207

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.