Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34641928›Full record

ArticleRadiation oncology (London, England)2021

Development and validation of a radiomics-based model to predict local progression-free survival after chemo-radiotherapy in patients with esophageal squamous cell cancer.

He-San Luo, Ying-Ying Chen, Wei-Zhen Huang, Sheng-Xi Wu, Shao-Fu Huang, Hong-Yao Xu, Ren-Liang Xue, Ze-Sen Du, Xu-Yuan Li, Lian-Xin Lin and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Radiation oncology (London, England), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
6.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

He-San LuoDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515000, Guangdong, China. luohesan@163.com.
Ying-Ying ChenDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515000, Guangdong, China.
Wei-Zhen HuangDepartment of Medical Oncology, Huizhou Municipal Central Hospital of Guangdong Province, Huizhou, China.
Sheng-Xi WuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515000, Guangdong, China.
Shao-Fu HuangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515000, Guangdong, China.
Hong-Yao XuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515000, Guangdong, China.
Ren-Liang XueDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515000, Guangdong, China.
Ze-Sen DuDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, Guangdong, China.
Xu-Yuan LiDepartment of Medical Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, Guangdong, China.
Lian-Xin LinDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515000, Guangdong, China.
He-Cheng HuangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shantou Central Hospital, Shantou, 515000, Guangdong, China.
Shantou Central Hospital · CNHuizhou Central People's Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo develop a nomogram model for predicting local progress-free survival (LPFS) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with concurrent chemo-radiotherapy (CCRT).

methodsWe collected the clinical data of ESCC patients treated with CCRT in our hospital. Eligible patients were randomly divided into training cohort and validation cohort. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with COX regression was performed to select optimal radiomic features to calculate Rad-score for predicting LPFS in the training cohort. The univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the predictive clinical factors for developing a nomogram model. The C-index was used to assess the performance of the predictive model and calibration curve was used to evaluate the accuracy.

resultsA total of 221 ESCC patients were included in our study, with 155 patients in training cohort and 66 patients in validation cohort. Seventeen radiomic features were selected by LASSO COX regression analysis to calculate Rad-score for predicting LPFS. The patients with a Rad-score ≥ 0.1411 had high risk of local recurrence, and those with a Rad-score < 0.1411 had low risk of local recurrence. Multivariate analysis showed that N stage, CR status and Rad-score were independent predictive factors for LPFS. A nomogram model was built based on the result of multivariate analysis. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.745 (95% CI 0.7700-0.790) in training cohort and 0.723(95% CI 0.654-0.791) in validation cohort. The 3-year LPFS rate predicted by the nomogram model was highly consistent with the actual 3-year LPFS rate both in the training cohort and the validation cohort.

conclusionWe developed and validated a prediction model based on radiomic features and clinical factors, which can be used to predict LPFS of patients after CCRT. This model is conducive to identifying the patients with ESCC benefited more from CCRT.

Indexed as

ChemoradiotherapyAgedEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsProgression-Free SurvivalChemo-radiotherapyEsophageal squamous cell cancerLPFSNomogramRadiomics

Identifiers

PMID34641928
PMCPMC8513312
OpenAlexW3171854322

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.