Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34636054›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2021

Precision Bayesian phase I-II dose-finding based on utilities tailored to prognostic subgroups.

Juhee Lee, Peter F Thall, Pavlos Msaouel

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. Novel Clinical Trial Designs with Dose Optimization to Improve Long-term Outcomes.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2023
    Review
  9. How large must a dose-optimization trial be?CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Juhee LeeDepartment of Statistics, University of California, Santa Cruz, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9787-3830
Peter F ThallDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Pavlos MsaouelDepartments of Genitourinary Medical Oncology and Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6505-8308
The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity of California, Santa Cruz · US

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Scott Kopetz · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
THE THERAPY OF AMLP01CA055164 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI THOMAS, MATTIE J · 1992 to 2011
$25.3M
Hematopoietic Progenitor Cells- Cord BloodR01CA061508 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI REZVANI, KATY, SHPALL, ELIZABETH J · 1993 to 2020
$5.1M
Bayesian Methods for Complex Precision Biotherapy Trials in OncologyR01CA261978 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI LIN, RUITAO, THALL, PETER F · 2021 to 2024
$1.4M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA055164NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS R01 CA061508NCI NIH HHS R01 CA261978NIH/NCI 2 P30 CA016672 43NIH/NCI 5R01CA061508
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A Bayesian phase I-II design is presented that optimizes the dose of a new agent within predefined prognostic subgroups. The design is motivated by a trial to evaluate targeted agents for treating metastatic clear cell renal carcinoma, where a prognostic risk score defined by clinical variables and biomarkers is well established. Two clinical outcomes are used for dose-finding, time-to-toxicity during a prespecified follow-up period, and efficacy characterized by ordinal disease status evaluated at the end of follow-up. A joint probability model is constructed for these outcomes as functions of dose and subgroup. The model performs adaptive clustering of adjacent subgroups having similar dose-outcome distributions to facilitate borrowing information across subgroups. To quantify toxicity-efficacy risk-benefit trade-offs that may differ between subgroups, the objective function is based on outcome utilities elicited separately for each subgroup. In the context of the renal cancer trial, a design is constructed and a simulation study is presented to evaluate the design's reliability, safety, and robustness, and to compare it to designs that either ignore subgroups or run a separate trial within each subgroup.

Indexed as

Research DesignBayes TheoremClinical Trials, Phase I as TopicClinical Trials, Phase II as TopicComputer SimulationDose-Response Relationship, DrugProbabilityPrognosisReproducibility of Resultsadaptive randomizationBayesian phase I-II clinical trial designclusteringdose findingpatient prognostic subgroups

Identifiers

PMID34636054
PMCPMC9175509
OpenAlexW3180122786

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.