Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34635661›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Nationwide rollout reveals efficacy of epidemic control through digital contact tracing.

Ahmed Elmokashfi, Joakim Sundnes, Amund Kvalbein, Valeriya Naumova, Sven-Arne Reinemo, Per Magne Florvaag, Håkon Kvale Stensland, Olav Lysne

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. The Emergence of AI in Public Health Is Calling for Operational Ethics to Foster Responsible Uses.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. The German COVID-19 Digital Contact Tracing App: A Socioeconomic Evaluation.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Observational
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ahmed ElmokashfiSimula Metropolitan Center for Digital Engineering, Oslo, Norway. ahmed@simula.no.ORCID 0000-0001-9964-214X
Joakim SundnesSimula Research Laboratory, Lysaker, Norway.
Amund KvalbeinSimula Metropolitan Center for Digital Engineering, Oslo, Norway.
Valeriya NaumovaSimula Metropolitan Center for Digital Engineering, Oslo, Norway.
Sven-Arne ReinemoSimula Metropolitan Center for Digital Engineering, Oslo, Norway.
Per Magne FlorvaagSimula Research Laboratory, Lysaker, Norway.
Håkon Kvale StenslandSimula Research Laboratory, Lysaker, Norway.
Olav LysneSimula Metropolitan Center for Digital Engineering, Oslo, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fuelled by epidemiological studies of SARS-CoV-2, contact tracing by mobile phones has been put to use in many countries. Over a year into the pandemic, we lack conclusive evidence on its effectiveness. To address this gap, we used a unique real world contact data set, collected during the rollout of the first Norwegian contact tracing app in the Spring of 2020. Our dataset involves millions of contacts between 12.5% of the adult population, which enabled us to measure the real-world app performance. The technological tracing efficacy was measured at 80%, and we estimated that at least 11.0% of the discovered close contacts could not have been identified by manual contact tracing. Our results also indicated that digital contact tracing can flag individuals with excessive contacts, which can help contain superspreading related outbreaks. The overall effectiveness of digital tracing depends strongly on app uptake, but significant impact can be achieved for moderate uptake numbers. Used as a supplement to manual tracing and other measures, digital tracing can be instrumental in controlling the pandemic. Our findings can thus help informing public health policies in the coming months.

Indexed as

Contact TracingCOVID-19HumansMobile ApplicationsNorwayPandemicsProbabilitySARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34635661
PMCPMC8505561

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.