Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34632161›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology and global health

Development of a scoring system for the prediction of in-hospital mortality among COVID-19 patients.

Mohammad Haji Aghajani, Mohammad Sistanizad, Asma Pourhoseingholi, Ziba Asadpoordezaki, Niloufar Taherpour

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Article in Clinical epidemiology and global health. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

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7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Mohammad Haji AghajaniPrevention of Cardiovascular Disease Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Mohammad SistanizadPrevention of Cardiovascular Disease Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Asma PourhoseingholiPrevention of Cardiovascular Disease Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Ziba AsadpoordezakiImam Hossein Medical and Educational Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Niloufar TaherpourPrevention of Cardiovascular Disease Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe aim of this study is to develop and validate a scoring system as a tool for predicting the in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients in early stage of disease.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study, conducted on 893 COVID-19 patients in Tehran from February 18 to July 20, 2020. Potential factors were chosen via stepwise selection and multivariable logistic regression model. Cross-validation method was employed to assess the predictive performance of the model as well as the scoring system such as discrimination, calibration, and validity indices.

resultsThe COVID-19 patients' median age was 63 yrs (54.98% male) and 233 (26.09%) patients expired during the study. The scoring system was developed based on 8 selected variables: age ≥55 yrs (OR = 5.67, 95% CI: 3.25-9.91), males (OR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.007-2.29), ICU need (OR = 16.32, 95% CI 10.13-26.28), pulse rate >90 (OR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.26-2.83), lymphocytes <17% (OR = 2.33, 95%CI: 1.54-3.50), RBC ≤4, 10

conclusionThis study showed that developed scoring system has a good performance and can use to help physicians for identifying high-risk patients in early stage of disease

Indexed as

Clinical prediction modelCOVID-19In-hospital mortalityScoring system

Identifiers

PMID34632161
PMCPMC8492387

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.