Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34627998›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2022

Projecting the age-distribution of men who have sex with men receiving HIV treatment in the United States.

Parastu Kasaie, Cameron Stewart, Elizabeth Humes, Lucas Gerace, Jinbing Zhang, Michael J Silverberg, Michael A Horberg, Peter F Rebeiro, Emily P Hyle, Viviane D Lima and 6 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 8 institutions in 2 countries.

Parastu KasaieDepartment of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA. Electronic address: pkasaie@jhu.edu.
Cameron StewartDepartment of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Elizabeth HumesDepartment of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Lucas GeraceDepartment of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Jinbing ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Michael J SilverbergDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA.
Michael A HorbergMid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States, Rockville, MD, USA.
Peter F RebeiroDepartment of Medicine, Divisions of Infectious Diseases & Epidemiology; Department of Biostatistics; Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA.
Emily P HyleDivision of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University Center for AIDS Research, Boston, MA, USA.
Viviane D LimaDepartment of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Cherise WongGlobal Patient Safety, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc, Tarrytown, NY, USA.
M John GillDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology and Infectious Diseases, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Kelly GeboDepartment of Medicine, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Richard MooreDepartment of Medicine, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Mari M KitahataDepartment of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Keri N AlthoffDepartment of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Johns Hopkins University · USKaiser Permanente · USHarvard University · USRegeneron (United States) · USUniversity of British Columbia · CAUniversity of Calgary · CAUniversity of Washington · USVanderbilt University · US

Funding

WOMEN'S HEALTH AGENDAU01AI038858 · NIAID · SOCIAL AND SCIENTIFIC SYSTEMS, INC. · PI BENSON, CONSTANCE ANN · 1996 to 2008
$157.5M
AIDS Clinical Trials Group NetworkU01AI068636 · NIAID · SOCIAL AND SCIENTIFIC SYSTEMS, INC. · PI KURITZKES, DANIEL R. · 2006 to 2010
$147.1M
UCSF CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTEUL1RR024131 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI JOHNSTON, S. CLAIBORNE · 2006 to 2011
$111.2M
University of Washington/Fred Hutch Center for AIDS ResearchP30AI027757 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI EDWIN ROBERTO ORELLANA · 1988 to 2026
$104.9M
Unsolicited R24 for the CFAR-Network of Integrated Clinical Sciences, CNICSR24AI067039 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Michael S. Saag · 2006 to 2026
$99.4M
Virology CoreP30AI027763 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI MALLORY O JOHNSON · 1988 to 2026
$93.6M
Implementing a Maternal health and PRegnancy Outcomes Vision for Everyone (IMPROVE)UL1TR002378 · NCATS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Andres J Garcia, Elizabeth O. Ofili · 2017 to 2026
$92.1M
Virology CoreP30AI027767 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Latesha Ellen Elopre · 1988 to 2026
$84.1M
STATISTICAL AND DATA MANAGEMENT CENTERU01AI038855 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI HUGHES, MICHAEL DAVID · 1996 to 2006
$78.1M
Engaging University of California Stakeholders for Biorespository ResearchUL1TR000004 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI GRANDIS, JENNIFER RUBIN · 2012 to 2015
$78.0M
Studies of Ocular Complications of AIDS - Coordinating CenterU10EY008057 · NEI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI VAN NATTA, MARK L · 1988 to 2012
$78.0M
Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 CP010176NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000421NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000004NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000083NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002378NCI NIH HHS N01 CP001004NCI NIH HHS N02 CP055504NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024131NEI NIH HHS K23 EY013707NEI NIH HHS U10 EY008052NEI NIH HHS U10 EY008057NEI NIH HHS U10 EY008067NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL123349NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146192NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146193NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146194NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146201NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146202NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146203NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146204NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146205NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146208NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146240NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146241NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146242NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146245NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL146333NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA016893NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA013566NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA020790NIAAA NIH HHS U24 AA020794NIAID NIH HHS F31 AI124794NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI093197NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI131895NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI138853NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI065298NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI118591NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI027757NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI027763NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI027767NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036219NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050409NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI110527NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI067039NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI038855NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI038858NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI068634NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI068636NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069432NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069434NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069918NIA NIH HHS R01 AG053100NIA NIH HHS R56 AG081148NIDA NIH HHS F31 DA037788NIDA NIH HHS K24 DA000432NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA011602NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA012568NIDA NIH HHS R34 DA045592NIDA NIH HHS U01 DA036297NIDA NIH HHS U01 DA036935NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM133807NIMHD NIH HHS G12 MD007583NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH062246
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe age-distribution of men who have sex with men (MSM) continues to change in the 'Treat-All' era as effective test-and-treat programs target key-populations. However, the nature of these changes and potential racial heterogeneities remain uncertain.

methodsThe PEARL model is an agent-based simulation of MSM in HIV care in the US, calibrated to data from the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD).

resultsPEARL projects a gradual decrease in median age of MSM at ART initiation from 36 to 31 years during 2010-2030, accompanied by changes in mortality among Black, White, and Hispanic MSM on ART by -8.4%, 42.4% and -19.6%. The median age of all MSM on ART is projected to increase from 45 to 47 years from 2010-2030, with the proportion of ART-users age ≥60y increasing from 6.7% to 28.0%. Almost half (49.7%) of White MSM ART-users are projected to age ≥60y by 2030, compared to 19.5% of Black and 17.2% of Hispanic MSM.

conclusionsThe overall age of US MSM in HIV care is expected to increase over the next decade, and differentially by race/ethnicity. As this population age, HIV programs should expand care for age-related causes of morbidity and mortality.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsSexual and Gender MinoritiesHispanic or LatinoHomosexuality, MaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRacial GroupsUnited StatesAgingComputer simulationHispanic ethnicityHIVPeople who inject drugsRacial disparitiesSexual and Gender Minorities

Identifiers

PMID34627998
PMCPMC8859821
OpenAlexW3205043724

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.