ArticlePloS one2021
Ensemble ecological niche modeling of West Nile virus probability in Florida.
Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Advances in mosquito-borne disease surveillance using machine learning.New microbes and new infections · 2026Article
- Determination of dengue high-risk areas in the Philippines: a kernel density estimation, inverse distance weighting, and ecological niche modeling.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Modelling vector and host distributions to inform potential disease risk: A case study of West Nile virus in the United Kingdom.Medical and veterinary entomology · 2025Article
- Ecological niche and risk modeling of West Nile virus using environmental and biological thresholds.Archives of microbiology · 2025Article
- Ecological drivers of malaria vector habitat and transmission over 1 year of long-lasting insecticidal net intervention in Côte d'Ivoire.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Current and Future Spatial Distribution of theInsects · 2025Article
- Spatial and temporal analysis of West Nile virus infection in mosquito and human populations based on arboviral detection testing data.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Mapping Potential Malaria Vector Larval Habitats for Larval Source Management in Western Kenya: Introduction to Multimodel Ensembling Approaches.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2024Article
- Regional variation in the landscape ecology of West Nile virus sentinel chicken seroconversion in Florida.PloS one · 2024Article
- Ecological Niche and Positive Clusters of Two West Nile Virus Vectors in Ontario, Canada.EcoHealth · 2023Article
- An ecological assessment of the potential pandemic threat of Dengue Virus in Zhejiang province of China.BMC infectious diseases · 2023Article
- Assessing the Influence of Climate on the Spatial Pattern of West Nile Virus Incidence in the United States.Environmental health perspectives · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Ecological Niche Modeling is a process by which spatiotemporal, climatic, and environmental data are analyzed to predict the distribution of an organism. Using this process, an ensemble ecological niche model for West Nile virus habitat prediction in the state of Florida was developed. This model was created through the weighted averaging of three separate machine learning models-boosted regression tree, random forest, and maximum entropy-developed for this study using sentinel chicken surveillance and remote sensing data. Variable importance differed among the models. The highest variable permutation value included mean dewpoint temperature for the boosted regression tree model, mean temperature for the random forest model, and wetlands focal statistics for the maximum entropy mode. Model validation resulted in area under the receiver curve predictive values ranging from good [0.8728 (95% CI 0.8422-0.8986)] for the maximum entropy model to excellent [0.9996 (95% CI 0.9988-1.0000)] for random forest model, with the ensemble model predictive value also in the excellent range [0.9939 (95% CI 0.9800-0.9979]. This model should allow mosquito control districts to optimize West Nile virus surveillance, improving detection and allowing for a faster, targeted response to reduce West Nile virus transmission potential.
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