Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34619573›Full record

ArticleBreast (Edinburgh, Scotland)2021

Machine learning to predict individual patient-reported outcomes at 2-year follow-up for women undergoing cancer-related mastectomy and breast reconstruction (INSPiRED-001).

André Pfob, Babak J Mehrara, Jonas A Nelson, Edwin G Wilkins, Andrea L Pusic, Chris Sidey-Gibbons

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Exploring the role of health-related quality of life measures in predictive modelling for oncology: a systematic review.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2025
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  5. Applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Breast Cancer Care Delivery and Education: A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
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  17. Machine learning models for 180-day mortality prediction of patients with advanced cancer using patient-reported symptom data.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

André PfobUniversity Breast Unit, Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany; MD Anderson Center for INSPiRED Cancer Care (Integrated Systems for Patient-Reported Data), The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, USA.
Babak J MehraraDepartment of Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Jonas A NelsonDepartment of Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Edwin G WilkinsDepartment of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Andrea L PusicPatient-Reported Outcome Value & Experience (PROVE) Center, Department of Surgery, Harvard Medical School & Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Chris Sidey-GibbonsMD Anderson Center for INSPiRED Cancer Care (Integrated Systems for Patient-Reported Data), The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, USA; Department of Symptom Research, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA. Electronic address: cgibbons@mdanderson.org.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Mastectomy Reconstruction Outcome Consortium (MROC Study)R01CA152192 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI PUSIC, ANDREA LOUISE, WILKINS, EDWIN G. · 2011 to 2015
$4.9M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS R01 CA152192
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWomen undergoing cancer-related mastectomy and reconstruction are facing multiple treatment choices where post-surgical satisfaction with breasts is a key outcome. We developed and validated machine learning algorithms to predict patient-reported satisfaction with breasts at 2-year follow-up to better inform the decision-making process for women with breast cancer.

methodsWe trained, tested, and validated three machine learning algorithms (logistic regression (LR) with elastic net penalty, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) tree, and neural network) to predict clinically important differences in satisfaction with breasts at 2-year follow-up using the validated BREAST-Q. We used data from 1553 women undergoing cancer-related mastectomy and reconstruction who were followed-up for two years at eleven study sites in North America from 2011 to 2016. 10-fold cross-validation was used to train and test the algorithms on data from 10 of the 11 sites which were further validated using the additional site's data. Area-under-the-receiver-operating-characteristics-curve (AUC) was the primary outcome measure.

resultsOf 1553 women, 702 (45.2%) experienced an improved satisfaction with breasts and 422 (27.2%) a decreased satisfaction. In the validation set (n = 221), the algorithms showed equally high performance to predict improved or decreased satisfaction with breasts (all P > 0.05): For improved satisfaction AUCs were 0.86-0.87 and for decreased satisfaction AUCs were 0.84-0.85.

conclusionLong-term, individual patient-reported outcomes for women undergoing mastectomy and breast reconstruction can be accurately predicted using machine learning algorithms. Our algorithms may be used to better inform clinical treatment decisions for these patients by providing accurate estimates of expected quality of life.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsMammaplastyFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMachine LearningMastectomyPatient Reported Outcome MeasuresPatient SatisfactionQuality of LifeBreast reconstructionBreast surgeryDecision-makingIndividualized treatmentINSPiREDMachine learning

Identifiers

PMID34619573
PMCPMC8551470

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.