ArticleIndian journal of physics and proceedings of the Indian Association for the Cultivation of Science (2004)2022
Machine learning predictions of COVID-19 second wave end-times in Indian states.
Article in Indian journal of physics and proceedings of the Indian Association for the Cultivation of Science (2004), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges.Nature communications · 2025Article
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Abstract
The estimate of the remaining time of an ongoing wave of epidemic spreading is a critical issue. Due to the variations of a wide range of parameters in an epidemic, for simple models such as Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, it is difficult to estimate such a time scale. On the other hand, multidimensional data with a large set attributes are precisely what one can use in statistical learning algorithms to make predictions. Here we show, how the predictability of the SIR model changes with various parameters using a supervised learning algorithm. We then estimate the condition in which the model gives the least error in predicting the duration of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in different states in India. Finally, we use the SIR model with the above mentioned optimal conditions to generate a training data set and use it in the supervised learning algorithm to estimate the end-time of the ongoing second wave of the pandemic in different states in India.
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