Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34610260›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2021

Exclusion of the fittest predicts microbial community diversity in fluctuating environments.

Shota Shibasaki, Mauro Mobilia, Sara Mitri

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Microbial Community Succession Sustains Fish Diversity in the Upper Yangtze River Reserve.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Shota ShibasakiDepartment of Fundamental Microbiology, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-8196-0745
Mauro MobiliaDepartment of Applied Mathematics, School of Mathematics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1424-567X
Sara MitriDepartment of Fundamental Microbiology, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-3930-5357

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Microorganisms live in environments that inevitably fluctuate between mild and harsh conditions. As harsh conditions may cause extinctions, the rate at which fluctuations occur can shape microbial communities and their diversity, but we still lack an intuition on how. Here, we build a mathematical model describing two microbial species living in an environment where substrate supplies randomly switch between abundant and scarce. We then vary the rate of switching as well as different properties of the interacting species, and measure the probability of the weaker species driving the stronger one extinct. We find that this probability increases with the strength of demographic noise under harsh conditions and peaks at either low, high, or intermediate switching rates depending on both species' ability to withstand the harsh environment. This complex relationship shows why finding patterns between environmental fluctuations and diversity has historically been difficult. In parameter ranges where the fittest species was most likely to be excluded, however, the beta diversity in larger communities also peaked. In sum, how environmental fluctuations affect interactions between a few species pairs predicts their effect on the beta diversity of the whole community.

Indexed as

MicrobiotaModels, TheoreticalProbabilitybeta diversitychemostatcompetitive exclusiondemographic noiseenvironmental switchingintermediate disturbance hypothesis

Identifiers

PMID34610260
PMCPMC8492180

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.