Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34610027›Full record

SynthesisPLoS neglected tropical diseases2021

Predictive markers for the early prognosis of dengue severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Tran Quang Thach, Heba Gamal Eisa, AlMotsim Ben Hmeda, Hazem Faraj, Tieu Minh Thuan, Manal Mahmoud Abdelrahman, Mario Gerges Awadallah, Nam Xuan Ha, Michael Noeske, Jeza Muhamad Abdul Aziz and 5 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 36 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Clinical characteristics, complications and outcomes of critically ill patients with Dengue in Brazil, 2012-2024: A nationwide, multicenter cohort study.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2025
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  17. Serum Ferritin Level in Children with Severe Dengue Infection and Its Association with Outcome: A Single-center Prospective Cohort Study.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 11 institutions in 7 countries.

Tran Quang ThachDepartment of Immunogenetics, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Heba Gamal EisaFaculty of Medicine, Menoufia University, Shebin El-Koum, Egypt.
AlMotsim Ben HmedaFaculty of Medicine, University of Tripoli, Tripoli, Libya.ORCID 0000-0001-9227-3177
Hazem FarajFaculty of Medicine, University of Tripoli, Tripoli, Libya.
Tieu Minh ThuanFaculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-4907-664X
Manal Mahmoud AbdelrahmanMedical School, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.ORCID 0000-0002-7733-2711
Mario Gerges AwadallahFaculty of Medicine, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt.
Nam Xuan HaHue University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Hue, Vietnam.
Michael NoeskeAmerican University of the Caribbean School of Medicine, Cupecoy, Sint Maarten.ORCID 0000-0002-9764-5352
Jeza Muhamad Abdul AzizCollege of Health Sciences, University of Human Development, Sulaimaniyah, Iraq.ORCID 0000-0002-1522-1880
Nguyen Hai NamGraduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-5184-6936
Mohamed El NileMinistry of Health, Zagazig, Egypt.
Shyam Prakash DumreDepartment of Immunogenetics, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-4072-0745
Nguyen Tien HuySchool of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-9543-9440
Kenji HirayamaDepartment of Immunogenetics, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Nagasaki University · JPUniversity of Tripoli · LYAin Shams University · EGAlexandria University · EGAmerican University of the Caribbean School of Medicine · SXHue University · VNKyoto University · JPMcMaster University · CAMenoufia University · EGUniversity of Human Development · IQZagazig University · EG

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPredictive markers represent a solution for the proactive management of severe dengue. Despite the low mortality rate resulting from severe cases, dengue requires constant examination and round-the-clock nursing care due to the unpredictable progression of complications, posing a burden on clinical triage and material resources. Accordingly, identifying markers that allow for predicting disease prognosis from the initial diagnosis is needed. Given the improved pathogenesis understanding, myriad candidates have been proposed to be associated with severe dengue progression. Thus, we aim to review the relationship between the available biomarkers and severe dengue. METHODOLOGY: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare the differences in host data collected within 72 hours of fever onset amongst the different disease severity levels. We searched nine bibliographic databases without restrictive criteria of language and publication date. We assessed risk of bias and graded robustness of evidence using NHLBI quality assessments and GRADE, respectively. This study protocol is registered in PROSPERO (CRD42018104495). PRINCIPAL

findingsOf 4000 records found, 40 studies for qualitative synthesis, 19 for meta-analysis. We identified 108 host and viral markers collected within 72 hours of fever onset from 6160 laboratory-confirmed dengue cases, including hematopoietic parameters, biochemical substances, clinical symptoms, immune mediators, viral particles, and host genes. Overall, inconsistent case classifications explained substantial heterogeneity, and meta-analyses lacked statistical power. Still, moderate-certainty evidence indicated significantly lower platelet counts (SMD -0.65, 95% CI -0.97 to -0.32) and higher AST levels (SMD 0.87, 95% CI 0.36 to 1.38) in severe cases when compared to non-severe dengue during this time window.

conclusionThe findings suggest that alterations of platelet count and AST level-in the first 72 hours of fever onset-are independent markers predicting the development of severe dengue.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAspartate AminotransferasesBiomarkersChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedPlatelet CountPrognosisSevere DengueAspartate AminotransferasesBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID34610027
PMCPMC8519480
OpenAlexW3201684620

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.