Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34608159›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe.

David García-León, Ana Casanueva, Gabriele Standardi, Annkatrin Burgstall, Andreas D Flouris, Lars Nybo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  7. Heatwave increases nighttime light intensity in hyperdense cities of the Global South: a double machine learning study.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Perspectives on connecting climate change and health.Scandinavian journal of public health · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Climate dynamics · 2025
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. A better integration of health and economic impact assessments of climate change.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2024
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Temperature (Austin, Tex.) · 2024
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

David García-LeónEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre, Edificio Expo, Inca Garcilaso 3, 41092, Seville, Spain. david.garcia-leon@ec.europa.eu.ORCID 0000-0002-3205-7613
Ana CasanuevaFederal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, 8058, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-7568-0229
Gabriele StandardiEuro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) and Ca' Foscari University of Venice. Edificio Porta dell'Innovazione, 2nd floor, Via della Libertà 12, 30175, Venice, Italy.
Annkatrin BurgstallFederal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, 8058, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-6834-6222
Andreas D FlourisFAME Laboratory, Department of Exercise Science, University of Thessaly, 42100, Trikala, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-9823-3915
Lars NyboDepartment of Nutrition and Exercise Sciences, University of Copenhagen (NEXS), 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-9090-1958

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Extreme heat undermines the working capacity of individuals, resulting in lower productivity, and thus economic output. Here we analyse the present and future economic damages due to reduced labour productivity caused by extreme heat in Europe. For the analysis of current impacts, we focused on heatwaves occurring in four recent anomalously hot years (2003, 2010, 2015, and 2018) and compared our findings to the historical period 1981-2010. In the selected years, the total estimated damages attributed to heatwaves amounted to 0.3-0.5% of European gross domestic product (GDP). However, the identified losses were largely heterogeneous across space, consistently showing GDP impacts beyond 1% in more vulnerable regions. Future projections indicate that by 2060 impacts might increase in Europe by a factor of almost five compared to the historical period 1981-2010 if no further mitigation or adaptation actions are taken, suggesting the presence of more pronounced effects in the regions where these damages are already acute.

Identifiers

PMID34608159
PMCPMC8490455

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.