Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34607868›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2021

Assessing relative COVID-19 mortality during the second wave: a prospective Swiss population-based study.

Sandra Siegfried, Matthias Bopp, Huldrych Günthard, Olivia Keiser, Caroline E Weibull, Michael Crowther, Torsten Hothorn

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sandra SiegfriedInstitut für Epidemiologie, Biostatistik und Prävention, Universität Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-7312-1001
Matthias BoppInstitut für Epidemiologie, Biostatistik und Prävention, Universität Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Huldrych GünthardInstitut für Medizinische Virologie, Universität Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Olivia KeiserInstitut de santé globale, Université de Genève, Geneva, Switzerland.
Caroline E WeibullDepartment of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Michael CrowtherDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Torsten HothornInstitut für Epidemiologie, Biostatistik und Prävention, Universität Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland Torsten.Hothorn@uzh.ch.ORCID 0000-0001-8301-0471

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveDuring the first COVID-19 wave in Switzerland, relative mortality was at least eight times higher compared with the uninfected general population. We aimed to assess sex-specific and age-specific relative mortality associated with a SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis during the second wave.

designProspective population-based study.

settingIndividuals testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 after the start of the second wave on 1 October 2020 were followed up until death or administrative censoring on 31 December 2020.

participants5 179 740 inhabitants of Switzerland in fall 2018 aged 35-95 years (without COVID-19) and 257 288 persons tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by PCR or antigen testing during the second wave. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The planned outcome measure was time to death from any cause, measured from the date of a SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis or 1 October in the general population. Information on confirmed SARS-CoV-2 diagnoses and deaths was matched by calendar time with the all-cause mortality of the general Swiss population of 2018. Proportional hazards models were used to estimate sex-specific and age-specific mortality rates and probabilities of death within 60 days.

resultsThe risk of death for individuals tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 in the second wave in Switzerland increased at least sixfold compared with the general population. HRs, reflecting the risk attributable to a SARS-CoV-2 infection, were higher for men (1.40, 95% CI 1.29 to 1.52) and increased for each additional year of age (1.01, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.02). COVID-19 mortality was reduced by at least 20% compared with the first wave in spring 2020.

conclusionGeneral mortality patterns, increased for men and older persons, were similar in spring and in fall. Absolute and relative COVID-19 mortality was smaller in fall.

trial registrationThe protocol for this study was registered on 3 December 2020 at https://osf.io/gbd6r.

Indexed as

COVID-19AgedAged, 80 and overCOVID-19 TestingHumansProspective StudiesSARS-CoV-2SwitzerlandCOVID-19epidemiologypublic health

Identifiers

PMID34607868
PMCPMC8491006

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.