Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34603944›Full record

ArticleResults in physics2021

Predictive models for COVID-19 cases, deaths and recoveries in Algeria.

M Lounis, O Torrealba-Rodriguez, R A Conde-Gutiérrez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Results in physics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

M LounisDepartment of Agro-veterinary Science, Faculty of Natural and Life Sciences, University of Ziane Achour, BP 3117, Road of Moudjbara, Djelfa 17000, Algeria.
O Torrealba-RodriguezUniversidad Politécnica del Estado de Morelos (Upemor), Boulevard Cuauhnáhuac #566, Col. Lomas del Texcal, CP 62550, Jiutepec, Morelos, México.
R A Conde-GutiérrezCentro de Investigación en Recursos Energéticos y Sustentables, Universidad Veracruzana, Av. Universidad Km 7.5, Col. Santa Isabel, Coatzacoalcos CP 96535, Veracruz, México.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study was conducted to predict the number of COVID-19 cases, deaths and recoveries using reported data by the Algerian Ministry of health from February 25, 2020 to January 10, 2021. Four models were compared including Gompertz model, logistic model, Bertalanffy model and inverse artificial neural network (ANNi). Results showed that all the models showed a good fit between the predicted and the real data (R

Indexed as

AlgeriaANNi modelBertalanffyCOVID-19Gompertzlogisticmodeling

Identifiers

PMID34603944
PMCPMC8478079

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.