ArticleNature communications2021
Geographical drivers and climate-linked dynamics of Lassa fever in Nigeria.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
41 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Lassa fever in West Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis of attack rates, case fatality rates and risk factors.BMC public health · 2025Pooled it
- Assessing the Environmental Drivers of Lassa Fever in West Africa: A Systematic Review.Viruses · 2025Pooled it
- The Effect of Temperature on the Distribution of Zoonotic Pathogens in Livestock and Wildlife Populations: A Systematic Review.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2023Pooled it
- Climate-driven host ecology as a framework for zoonotic disease risk: Understanding transferability across arenavirus systems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Article
- The socio-economic shield limits Lassa virus spillover in urban West Africa.Epidemiology and infection · 2026Article
- Local heterogeneity in Lassa fever serology in rural Nigeria: Implications for vaccine trial site selection.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Climate-driven changes in zoonotic risk of arenaviral hemorrhagic fevers in South America.Npj viruses · 2026Article
- Impact of seasonal changes on the epidemiology of Lassa fever in a state in North Central, Nigeria.Tropical diseases, travel medicine and vaccines · 2026Article
- Early Detection and Surveillance of Infectious Disease Outbreaks in Nigeria : Integrating Nigerian Pidgin English (NPE) into the EPIWATCHJournal of medical systems · 2026Article
- Land use gradients drive spatial variation in Lassa fever host communities in the Eastern Province of Sierra Leone.The Journal of animal ecology · 2026Article
- Interepidemic Rift Valley fever in East Africa: the recent risk landscape and projected impacts of global change.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2026Article
- A One Health trial design to accelerate Lassa fever vaccines.Nature medicine · 2026Article
- Scaling Lassa Virus Dynamics within Anthropogenic Ecosystems (SCAPES) Study Protocol: a mixed-methods observational cohort study of humans, rodents, and landscapes in Nigeria.Wellcome open research · 2026Article
- Mapping the scientific landscape of Lassa virus: a 55-year bibliometric study (1970-2025).Science in One Health · 2026Article
- Climate sensitivity is widely but unevenly spread across zoonotic diseases.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Socioeconomic and environmental predictors of lassa fever transmission in Lower Bambara Chiefdom, Kenema District, Eastern Sierra Leone.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Serological Evidence of Lassa Virus Exposure in Non-Viruses · 2025Article
- Modelling the effects of climate and human factor on Lassa fever distribution in Ondo State Nigeria.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Article
- Assessing the risk of diseases with epidemic and pandemic potential in a changing world.Science advances · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Lassa fever is a longstanding public health concern in West Africa. Recent molecular studies have confirmed the fundamental role of the rodent host (Mastomys natalensis) in driving human infections, but control and prevention efforts remain hampered by a limited baseline understanding of the disease's true incidence, geographical distribution and underlying drivers. Here, we show that Lassa fever occurrence and incidence is influenced by climate, poverty, agriculture and urbanisation factors. However, heterogeneous reporting processes and diagnostic laboratory access also appear to be important drivers of the patchy distribution of observed disease incidence. Using spatiotemporal predictive models we show that including climatic variability added retrospective predictive value over a baseline model (11% decrease in out-of-sample predictive error). However, predictions for 2020 show that a climate-driven model performs similarly overall to the baseline model. Overall, with ongoing improvements in surveillance there may be potential for forecasting Lassa fever incidence to inform health planning.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.