Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34598979›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2021

Clinical value of laboratory indicators for predicting disease progression and death in patients with COVID-19: a retrospective cohort study.

Qian Wang, Jie Cheng, Jian Shang, Ying Wang, Jing Wan, You-Qin Yan, Wen-Bin Liu, Hai-Ping Zhang, Jian-Ping Wang, Xiao-Yue Wang and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Qian Wang *Department of Gastroenterology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7933-238X
Jie Cheng *Department of Gastroenterology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Jian Shang *Department of Gastroenterology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Ying WangDepartment of Teaching Office, Second Clinical Medical College of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Jing WanDepartment of Cardiology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
You-Qin YanDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, Wuhan No.7 hospital, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Wen-Bin LiuDepartment of Surgery, Wuhan No.7 hospital, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Hai-Ping ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Zhongshan Hospital of Hubei Province, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Jian-Ping WangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Xiao-Yue WangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Zi-Ang LiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Jun LinDepartment of Gastroenterology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China linjun64@126.com.ORCID 0000-0002-5152-6518
Wuhan University · CNWuhan No. 7 Hospital · CNSun Yat-sen University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesAs early prediction of severe illness and death for patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is important, we aim to explore the clinical value of laboratory indicators in evaluating the progression and prognosis of patients with COVID-19.

designRetrospective cohort study.

settingHospital-based study in China.

participantsAdult patients with COVID-19 from December 15, 2019 to March 15, 2020. END POINT: Disease severity and mortality.

methodsClinical data of 638 patients with COVID-19 were collected and compared between severe and non-severe groups. The predictive ability of laboratory indicators in disease progression and prognosis of COVID-19 was analysed using the receiver operating characteristic curve. The survival differences of COVID-19 patients with different levels of laboratory indicators were analysed utilising Kaplan-Meier analysis.

results29.8% (190/638) of patients with COVID-19 progressed to severe. Compared with patients with no adverse events, C reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and D-dimer were significantly higher in severe patients with adverse events, such as acute myocardial injury, respiratory failure, acute kidney injury, mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit admission, multiple organ dysfunction syndromes and death (all p<0.05). The multivariate logistic analysis suggested that CRP, NLR and D-dimer were independent risk factors for the disease progression of COVID-19 (all p<0.05). The model combining all of them owned the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) predicting disease progression and death of COVID-19, with AUC of 0.894 (95% CI 0.857 to 0.931) and 0.918 (95% CI 0.873 to 0.962), respectively. Survival analysis suggested that the patients with a high level of CRP, NLR or D-dimer performed shorter overall survival time (all p<0.05).

conclusionsThe combination of CRP, NLR and D-dimer could be an effective predictor for the aggravation and death in patients with COVID-19. The abnormal expression of these indicators might suggest a strong inflammatory response and multiple adverse events in patients with severe COVID-19.

Indexed as

COVID-19LaboratoriesAdultDisease ProgressionHumansNeutrophilsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC CurveSARS-CoV-2COVID-19infection controlvirology

Identifiers

PMID34598979
PMCPMC8488281
OpenAlexW3202506999

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.