Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34597292›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on AMI and stroke mortality in Lombardy: Evidence from the epicenter of the pandemic.

Camillo Rossi, Paolo Berta, Salvatore Curello, Pietro Giorgio Lovaglio, Mauro Magoni, Marco Metra, Aldo Maria Roccaro, Stefano Verzillo, Giorgio Vittadini

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Camillo RossiASST Spedali Civili of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-9271-813X
Paolo BertaDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods and CRISP, University of Milan-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-0984-4288
Salvatore CurelloASST Spedali Civili of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.
Pietro Giorgio LovaglioDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods and CRISP, University of Milan-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
Mauro MagoniASST Spedali Civili of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.
Marco MetraASST Spedali Civili of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.
Aldo Maria RoccaroASST Spedali Civili of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.
Stefano VerzilloEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-1895-8554
Giorgio VittadiniDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods and CRISP, University of Milan-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
Azienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale degli Spedali Civili di Brescia · ITUniversity of Milano-Bicocca · ITJoint Research Centre · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe first Covid-19 epidemic outbreak has enormously impacted the delivery of clinical healthcare and hospital management practices in most of the hospitals around the world. In this context, it is important to assess whether the clinical management of non-Covid patients has not been compromised. Among non-Covid cases, patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) and stroke need non-deferrable emergency care and are the natural candidates to be studied. Preliminary evidence suggests that the time from onset of symptoms to emergency department (ED) presentation has significantly increased in Covid-19 times as well as the 30-day mortality and in-hospital mortality.

methodsWe check, in a causal inference framework, the causal effect of the hospital's stress generated by Covid-19 pandemic on in-hospital mortality rates (primary end-point of the study) of AMI and stroke over several time-windows of 15-days around the implementation date of the State of Emergency restrictions for COVID-19 (March, 9th 2020) using two quasi-experimental approaches, regression-discontinuity design (RDD) and difference-in-regression-discontinuity (DRD) designs. Data are drawn from Spedali Civili of Brescia, one of the most hit provinces in Italy by Covid-19 during March and May 2020.

findingsDespite the potential adverse effects on expected mortality due to a longer time to hospitalization and staff extra-burden generated by the first wave of Covid-19, the AMI and stroke mortality rates are overall not statistically different during the first wave of Covid-19 than before the first peak. The obtained results provided by RDD models are robust also when we account for seasonality and unobserved factors with DRD models.

interpretationThe non-statistically significant impact on mortality rates for AMI and stroke patients provides evidence of the hospital ability to manage -with the implementation of a dual track organization- the simultaneous delivery of high-quality cares to both Covid and non-Covid patients.

Indexed as

COVID-19Databases, FactualEmergency Medical ServicesHospitalizationHospital MortalityHumansItalyMyocardial InfarctionPandemicsRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2Stroke

Identifiers

PMID34597292
PMCPMC8486095
OpenAlexW3203232452

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.