Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34597142›Full record

ArticleScience advances2021

Marine high temperature extremes amplify the impacts of climate change on fish and fisheries.

William W L Cheung, Thomas L Frölicher, Vicky W Y Lam, Muhammed A Oyinlola, Gabriel Reygondeau, U Rashid Sumaila, Travis C Tai, Lydia C L Teh, Colette C C Wabnitz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Marine ecosystems in peril: Time to prepare for super El Niño.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

William W L CheungInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-3626-1045
Thomas L FrölicherClimate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-2348-7854
Vicky W Y LamInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-1931-0514
Muhammed A OyinlolaInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5177-854X
Gabriel ReygondeauInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9074-625X
U Rashid SumailaInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-1851-1621
Travis C TaiInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7013-1901
Lydia C L TehInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-0981-7511
Colette C C WabnitzInstitute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-5076-9163

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Extreme temperature events have occurred in all ocean basins in the past two decades with detrimental impacts on marine biodiversity, ecosystem functions, and services. However, global impacts of temperature extremes on fish stocks, fisheries, and dependent people have not been quantified. Using an integrated climate-biodiversity-fisheries-economic impact model, we project that, on average, when an annual high temperature extreme occurs in an exclusive economic zone, 77% of exploited fishes and invertebrates therein will decrease in biomass while maximum catch potential will drop by 6%, adding to the decadal-scale mean impacts under climate change. The net negative impacts of high temperature extremes on fish stocks are projected to cause losses in fisheries revenues and livelihoods in most maritime countries, creating shocks to fisheries social-ecological systems particularly in climate-vulnerable areas. Our study highlights the need for rapid adaptation responses to extreme temperatures in addition to carbon mitigation to support sustainable ocean development.

Identifiers

PMID34597142
PMCPMC11714740

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.